Sunday, December 2, 2018

GET ME REWRITE: It takes Iowa nearly a decade to get the memo




Q;  Will Iowa's last greyhound racing track forge ahead or falter after Florida bans sport? (Des Moines Register, 11/29/2018)

A:  Falter.

Related line:
Wisconsin tries to oure bettors with 2 dog tracks near Illinois.  (Chicago Tribune, 5/23/1990)
Wisconsin and the local governments are eying huge tax windfalls from the dog racing. Dairyland is expected to provide 700 new jobs and $750,000 to $1 million yearly in amusement taxes to Kenosha, plus another $1.3 million in property taxes for local governments. ''From a revenue-producing standpoint, it does a good job for us,'' says Donald K. Holland, city administrator of Kenosha. ''A dog track is the kind of business you want to come into town.'' 
Wisconsin has gone to the dogs in a big way.  (Post Bulletin, 6/23/1990)
Greyhound Racing in Wisconsin

"Wipe Out" by the Surfaris debuted at #86 on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending June 22, 1963.  It spent 16 weeks on the chart, 7 weeks in the top 10, peaking at #2.

Flip or no flip: Arizona 2nd congressional district UPDATE


As it turned out, Republican Martha McSally decided to run for an open U.S. Senate seat, so Paul Ryan was unable to save the day for her.  McSally went on to lose to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema.  To add insult to injury, Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick defeated Republican Lea Marquez Peterson in the 2nd CD.  So yeah...

Flip!

Source:  Ballotpedia

Just one poll on which to report.  And it was within the margin of error.
Source:  Ballotpedia


Source:  Ballotpedia 

G.O.P. Squirms as Trump Veers Off Script With Abuse Remarks.  (The New York Times, 2/10/2018)
Far less visible are Republican lawmakers such as Representative Mimi Walters of California, who is facing a difficult campaign in an Orange County district where lobbing rhetorical bombs at the F.B.I. will do little with her centrist constituents but drawing attention to Disney’s bonuses could bear fruit. 

Not Trump country
Trump received 44.7% of the vote in 2016 compared to 49.9 for Romney in 2012 and 49.8% for McCain in 2008.

Clinton received 49.5% of the vote in 2016 compared to 48.4% for Obama in 2012 and 48.9% for Obama in 2008. 





Original 10/8/2017 post, "Paul Ryan-aligned super PAC is out to save the day for Martha McSally ", starts here.

Arizona's 2nd congressional district was redrawn during the redistricting process that took place after the 2010 census.  As a result of a 24.6% increase in population from 2000 to 2010, Arizona gained 1 congressional seat.

Source:  Ballotpedia

Exclusive: Ryan-aligned group to unleash volunteer army Saturday in early election push.  (USA Today, 10/6/2017)
Republicans are afraid, very afraidThe Congressional Leadership Fund’s “day of action” in 17 House districts comes more than a year before the 2018 midterm elections. The effort, part of the super PAC’s plan to spend $100 million to influence House races, underscores the high stakes of upcoming House battles and marks an early push by Ryan’s allies to ensure that individual House races do not become a referendum on President Trump and his performance.

Martha McSally lost the 2012 election by 0.8 percentage points, won in 2014 by 0.1 percentage point, and was re-elected in 2016 by a comfortable double-digit margin.

Other U.S. House 2018 election outlooks:
Open seat.  Martha McSally, Arizona 2nd.  (12/2/2018 election update)

Jeff Denham, California 10th.  (11/30/2018 election update)
David Valadao, California 21st.   (10/10/2017)
Steve Knight, California 25th.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ed Royce, California 39th.  (11/30/2018 election update)
Mimi Walters, California 45th.  (12/1/2018 election update)

Scott Tipton, Colorado 3rd.  (11/7/2018 update)
Mike Coffman, Colorado 6th.  (11/8/2018 update)

Dennis Ross, Florida 15th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Brian Mast, Florida 18th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Carlos Curbelo, Florida 26th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florida 27th.  (11/9/2018 election update)

Peter Roskam, Illinois 6th.  (11/10/2018 update)
Mike Bost, Illinois 12th. (11/10/2018 update)

Rod Blum, Iowa 1st.  (11/11/2018 update)
David Young, Iowa 3rd.  (11/11/2018 update)

Kevin Yoder, Kansas 3rd.  (11/12/2018 update)

Andy Barr, Kentucky 6th.  (11/12/2018 update)

Mike Bishop, Michigan 8th.  (11/13/2018 update)

Jason Lewis, Minnesota 2nd.  (11/15/2018 update)
Erik Paulsen, Minnesota 3rd.  (11/15/2018 update)

Don Bacon, Nebraska 2nd.  (11/16/2018 update)

Open seat.  New Jersey 2nd.  (11/16/2018 update)
Tom MacArthur, New Jersey 3rd.  (11/19/2018 update)
Leonard Lance, New Jersey 7th.  (11/19/2018 update)

Lee Zeldin, New York 1st.  (11/21/2018 update)
John Faso, New York 19th.  (11/21/2018 update)
Claudia Tenney, New York 22nd.  (11/23/2018 update)
John Katko, New York 24th.  (11/23/2018 update)

Steve Chabot, Ohio 1st. (11/25/2018 election update)

Ryan Costello, Pennsylvania 6th.  (10/23/2017)
Pennsylvania 7th.  (8/29/2018)

Will Hurd, Texas 23rd.  (11/25/2018 election update)
Pete Sessions, Texas 32nd.  (11/25/2018 election update)

Scott Taylor, Virginia 2nd.  (11/28/2018 election update)
Disgraced Tom Garrett.  Virginia 5th.  (11/28/2018 election update)
David Brat, Virginia 7th.  (11/28/2018 election update)

Wisconsin 2018 elections UPDATE: Who won in the 23rd State Senate District?


In an open seat, Kathy Bernier (R-Chippewa Falls) moves up from the Assembly, where she served 4 terms, to the Senate. 

Source:  Ballotpedia

Piggyback, Eau Claire Excluded, 
Marshfield Divided Art
of the WIGOP Gerrymander
Source:  Ballotpedia

Related reading:
Control of state Legislature will be tough for DemocratsAnalysis of new districts gives Republicans advantage for next 10 years.  (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 10/8/2012)

23rd state senate seat as a swing district?   Uh....no.

(arrows and text box added)

Original 6/8/2018 who's running post starts here.


Terry Moulton, not running for re-election, was elected to the State Senate by a margin of 22.4 percentage points in 2014.

Related links:
Kathy Bernier State Senate
Kapsner for Senate

Related articles:
Bernier announces candidacy for 23rd Senate seat.  (Eau Claire Leader Telegraph, 3/19/2018)
Chris Kapsner announces bid for 23rd Senate District seat vacated by Sen. Terry Moulton.  (Marshfield News Herald, 4/2/2018)
 

Related posts:
17 Democratic and 4 Republican incumbents running unopposed in state legislature races.  (6/5/2018)
1st Assembly District.  (11/16/2018 election update)
2nd Assembly District.  (11/16/2018 election update)
3rd Assembly District.  (11/16/2018 election update)
4th Assembly District.  (11/16/2018 election update)
5th Assembly District.  (11/16/2018 election update)
6th Assembly District.  (11/16/2018 election update)
7th Assembly District.  (11/17/2018 election update)
8th Assembly District.  (11/17/2018 election update)
9th Assembly District.  (8/15/2018 primary update)
12th Assembly District.  (8/15/2018 primary update)
13th Assembly District.  (11/17/2018 election update)
14th Assembly District.  (8/15/2018 primary update)
15th Assembly District.  (11/17/2018 election update)
16th Assembly District.  (8/15/2018 primary update)
18th Assembly District.  (8/15/2018 primary update)
21st Assembly District.  (11/18/2018 election update)
22nd Assembly District.  (11/18/2018 election update)
23rd Assembly District.  (11/18/2018 election update)
24th Assembly District.  (11/18/2018 election update)
25th Assembly District.  (11/18/2018 election update)
26th Assembly District.  (11/18/2018 election update)
27th Assembly District.  (11/19/2018 election update)
28th Assembly District.  (11/19/2018 election update)
29th Assembly District.  (11/19/2018 election update)
30th Assembly District.  (11/19/2018 election update)
31st Assembly District.  (11/20/2018 election update)
32nd Assembly District.  (11/20/2018 election update)
33rd Assembly District.  (11/20/2018 election update)
34th Assembly District.  (11/20/2018 election update)
35th Assembly District.  (11/20/2018 election update)
36th Assembly District.  (11/20/2018 election update)
37th Assembly District.  (6/27/2018)
38th Assembly District.  (11/21/2018 election update)
39th Assembly District.  (11/21/2018 election update)
40th Assembly District.  (11/21/2018 election update)
41st Assembly District.  (11/21/2018 election update)
42nd Assembly District.  (11/21/2018 election update)
43rd Assembly District.  (11/22/2018 election update)
45th Assembly District.  (11/22/2018 election update)
49th Assembly District.  (11/22/2018 election update)
50th Assembly District.  (11/22/2018 election update)
51st Assembly District.  (11/23/2018 election update)
52nd Assembly District.  (11/23/2018 election update)
53rd Assembly District.  (11/23/2018 election update)
55th Assembly District.  (11/23/2018 election update)
56th Assembly District.  (11/24/2018 election update)
58th Assembly District.  (11/24/2018 election update)
59th Assembly District.  (8/16/2018 primary update)
60th Assembly District.  (11/24/2018 election update
61st Assembly District.  (11/25/2018 election update)
62nd Assembly District.  (11/25/2018 election update)
63rd Assembly District.  (11/25/2018 election update)
64th Assembly District.  (11/26/2018 election update)
67th Assembly District.  (11/26/2018 election update)
68th Assembly District.  (11/26/2018 election update)
69th Assembly District.  (11/26/2018 election update)
70th Assembly District.  (11/26/2018 election update)
72nd Assembly District.  (11/27/2018 election update)
74th Assembly District.  (11/27/2018 election update)
75th Assembly District.  (11/27/2018 election update)
77th Assembly District.  (8/16/2018 primary update)
82nd Assembly District.  (11/27/2018 election update)
83rd Assembly District.  (11/28/2018 election update)
84th Assembly District.  (11/28/2018 election update)
85th Assembly District.  (11/28/2018 election update)
86th Assembly District.  (11/28/2018 election update)
87th Assembly District.  (11/28/2018 election update)
88th Assembly District.  (11/29/2018 election update)
89th Assembly District.  (11/29/2018 election update)
91st Assembly District.  (11/29/2018 election update)
92nd Assembly District.  (11/29/2018 election update)
93rd Assembly District.  (11/29/2018 election update)
94th Assembly District.  (11/30/2018 election update)
96th Assembly District.  (11/30/2018 election update)

5th Senate District.  (11/30/2018 election update)
7th Senate District.  (12/1/2018 election update)
9th Senate District.  (12/1/2018 election update)
13th Senate District. (12/1/2018 election update)
17th Senate District.  (12/1/2018 election update)
19th Senate District.  (12/2/2018 election update)
21st Senate District.  (12/2/2018 election update)
23rd Senate District.  (12/2/2018 election update)
25th Senate District.  (6/9/2018)
27th Senate District.  (6/9/2018)
29th Senate District.  (6/10/2018)
31st Senate District.  (8/15/2018 primary update)