2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor: Craig Gilbert, your plate of crow is ready!

 

Headline:  Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 7/30/2026\

Graph sources:  Real Clear Polling, New York Times

Craig Gilbert reports:

There is still a large pool (34%) of undecideds, many of them older voters for whom Hong may have less appeal. But in this poll of 407 Democratic primary voters, taken July 22-27, Hong’s lead is large enough that one of her rivals would have to win an improbable share of undecided voters and peel away supporters from other candidates to overtake her.  [emphasis added]

Related posts:
Counties that Francesca Hong and David Crowley won by the largest margin.  (8/12/2026)

"Gold standard of Wisconsin opinion and political polling shows us the pitfall when too many voters remain undecided.  (8/12/2026)

For those Wisconsin voters who have decided who to vote for, Francesca Hong leads in all areas of the state.  (7/22/2026)

2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial primary: Counties that Francesca Hong and David Crowley won by the largest margin

Election results and map:  New York Times

Outside of  Dane County, Hong did well in northwest, west central, and central Wisconsin, as well as the Fox Valley.

Crowley did well in the North Woods, lakeshore, and most south central Wisconsin counties.

Related posts:
"Gold standard of Wisconsin opinion and political polling shows us the pitfall when too many voters remain undecided.  (8/12/2026)

For those Wisconsin voters who have decided who to vote for, Francesca Hong leads in all areas of the state.  (7/22/2026)

"Gold standard" of Wisconsin opinion and political polling shows us the pitfall when too many voters remain undecided

 

Sources:  Real Clear Polling (orange box added below), New York Times

To be fair, Marquette had company.  Both Impact Research ("Data, Insight, and Experience That Move Us Forward") and Public Policy Polling ("Accurate, Affordable, Across the Country") erred in their assessments.