Wisconsin 2026 elections: Democrat Emily Tseffos challenges freshman Republican incumbent Rachael Cabral-Guevera in 19th Senate District

 

Prior to redistricting, the GOP gerrymandered 19th Senate District included southern Outagamie County and northern Winnebago County, chopping up the Fox Cities Community of Interest in the process.

Redistricting created a State Senate district -- the 18th -- that takes into account the Oshkosh-Neenah-Menasha-Appleton Community of Interest.  

The new 19th district takes in a large swath of east-central rural Wisconsin:

• most of rural Winnebago County
• all of Wautoma County
• towns of Richfield and Colburn in northeastern Adams County
• towns of Almond, Belmont, and Lanark, and in southeastern Portage County
• southern half of Waupaca County
• western half of Outagamie County

Maps:  2021-2022, 2025-2026

Election results and newest map:  Ballotpedia

 

Rachael Cabral-Guevera's conservative is a good fit for redrawn rural district.  Democratic challenger Emily Tseffos needs a blue tidal wave to win here.

On the other hand, Tseffos did comparatively well in her August 11th primary.   Running unopposed, she received 15,296 votes out of 15,310 cast while Cabral-Guevera received 17,994 votes out of 18,018 cast.  Another indication that it's a longshot for Tseffos to win this election.

Related reading:

Wisconsin Applied Population Lab, 6/18/2018

Malia Jones explains:

Two core concepts of gerrymandering were central to the arguments presented to the high court: cracking and packing. A third process, known as stacking, also crops up in gerrymandered political maps, but was not the focus of Gill v. Whitford.

Cracking and packing both refer to specific ways of drawing legislative boundaries with the outcomes of elections in mind. These two processes operate in tension with one another, but both can be implemented by a party in power seeking to maximize its electoral chances through gerrymandering. 

Packing refers to the practice of drawing particular districts in such a way as to ensure that another party's candidate wins that seat by a tremendous margin. Although the opposing party is all but guaranteed the seat, packing makes surrounding districts less competitive, and thus tips the balance of power in the legislative body overall toward the ruling party. 

Cracking involves drawing districts in such a way as to divide a concentration of specific types of voters across several districts such that they are a minority in each one, with practically no hope of achieving representation in any of the districts. This practice also helps make districts less competitive. [emphasis added]

Other Wisconsin 2026 election posts:

1st Assembly District.  (6/11/2026)

2nd Assembly District.  (6/14/2026)

3rd Assembly District.  (6/15/2026)

4th Assembly District.  (6/17/2026)

5th Assembly District.  (6/18/2026)

6th Assembly District.  (6/20/2026)

7th Assembly District.  (6/21/2026)

8th Assembly District.  (6/21/2026)

9th Assembly District.  (6/22/2026)

10th Assembly District.  (6/23/2026)

11th Assembly District.  (6/23/2026)

12th Assembly District.  (4/17/2026)

13th Assembly District.  (6/25/2026)

14th Assembly District.  (6/25/2026)

15th Assembly District.  (6/25/2026)

16th Assembly District.  (4/17/2026)

17th Assembly District.  (6/30/2026)

18th Assembly District.  (6/30/2026)

19th Assembly District.  (7/1/2026)

20th Assembly District.  (7/1/2026)

21st Assembly District.  (5/8/2026)

22nd Assembly District.  (7/5/2026)

23rd Assembly District.  (7/5/2026)

24th Assembly District.  (4/19/2026)

25th Assembly District.  (7/6/2026)

26th Assembly District.  (4/17/2026)

27th Assembly District.  (7/7/2026)

28th Assembly District.  (7/8/2026)

29th Assembly District.  (7/10/2026)

30th Assembly District.  (7/11/2026)

31st Assembly District.  (7/12/2026)

32nd Assembly District.  (7/13/2026)

33rd Assembly District.  (7/15/2026)

34th Assembly District.  (4/24/2026)

35th Assembly District.  (4/15/2026)

36th Assembly District.  (7.16.2026)

37th Assembly District.  (4/20/2026)

38th Assembly District.  (7/17/2026)

39th Assembly District.  (7/18/2026)

40th Assembly District.  (7/19/2026)

41st Assembly District.  (7/20/2026)

42nd Assembly District.  (7/21/2026)

43rd Assembly District.  (7/212026)

44th Assembly District.  (5/5/2026)

45th Assembly District.  (7/23/2026)

46th Assembly District.  (7/24/2026)

47th Assembly District.  (7/25/2026)

48th Assembly District.  (7/27/2026) 

49th Assembly District.  (7/28/2026)

50th Assembly District.  (7/29/2026)

51st Assembly District.  (7/30/2026)

52nd Assembly District.  (7/31/2026)

53rd Assembly District.  (8/2/2026)

54th Assembly District.  (8/4/2026)

55th Assembly District.  (8/7/2026)

58th Assembly District.  (4/12/2026)

59th Assembly District.  (4/10/2026)

60th Assembly District.  (8/9/2026)

61st Assembly District.  (8/16/2026)

62th Assembly District.  (8/11/2026)

63rd Assembly District.  (8/16/2026)

64th Assembly District.  (8/17/2026)

65th Assembly District.  (8/18/2026)

66th Assembly District.  (8/19/2026)

67th Assembly District.  (8/24/2026)

68th Assembly District.  (8/25/2026)

69th Assembly District.  (8/26/2026)

70th Assembly District.  (8/27/2026)

71st Assembly District.  (4/28/2026)

72nd Assembly District.  (8/29/2026)

73rd Assembly District.  (8/31/2026)

74th Assembly District.  (9/1/2026)

75th Assembly District.  (9/4/2026)

76th Assembly District.  (9/6/2026)

77th Assembly District.  (9/9/2026)

78th Assembly District.  (9/14/2026)

79th Assembly District.  (9/15/2026)

80th Assembly District.  (9/16/2026)

81st Assembly District.  (9/17/2026)

82nd Assembly District.  (9/18/2026)

83rd Assembly District.  (9/20/2026)

84th Assembly District.  (9/21/2026)

85th Assembly District.  (9/22/2026)

86th Assembly District.  (9/23/2026)

87th Assembly District.  (9/24/2026)

88th Assembly District.  (9/25/2026)

89th Assembly District.  (9/26/2026)

90th Assembly District.  (9/27/2026)

91st Assembly District.  (9/28/2026)

92nd Assembly District.  (9/29/2026)

93rd Assembly District.  (9/30/2026) 

94th Assembly District.  (10/1/2026)

95th Assembly District.  (10/2/2026)

96th Assembly District.  (10/3/2026)

97th Assembly District.  (10/4/2026)

98th Assembly District.  (10/5/2026)

99th Assembly District.  (10/6/2026)

1st Senate District.  (10/7/2026)

3rd Senate District.  (10/8/2026)

5th Senate District.  (10/9/2026)

7th Senate District.  (10/11/2026)

9th Senate District.  (10/12/2026)

11th Senate District.  (10/13/2026)

13th Senate District.  (10/14/2026)

15th Senate District.  (10/15/2026)

17th Senate District.  (10/16/2026)

23rd Senate District.  (4/15/2026)

31st Senate District.  (4/15/2026)

Going down: United States beef production forecast

 

Graph and headline:  Drovers, 10/13/2026

Angie Stump Denton reports:

Long-term supply constraints continue to compress beef output. In Cattle Market Notes Weekly, Maples, Mississippi State University associate professor and livestock extension economist, notes the impact of a contracted national herd is now fully manifesting in processing volumes. 

“Tight cattle supplies over the past few years are leading to tight beef supplies now and the latest USDA report revised 2026 and 2027 production estimates lower again,” Maples says. “USDA’s October WASDE report lowered the beef production forecasts for both 2026 and 2027. The 2026 estimate was cut 75 million lb. to 24.8 billion lb., which would be about 4.6% below 2025 and the smallest annual total since 2015. The 2027 forecast was reduced 160 million lb. to 24.7 billion lb., which would be about a half percent below the 2026 estimate.” 

Maples points out October marked the eighth consecutive month USDA lowered its 2026 beef production estimate, pulling it roughly 1 billion lb. below where forecasts stood at the start of the year. [emphasis added]

Related posts:

September 2026

Eric Schlosser shines a light on Trump's 600,000,000 pounds of suspect mystery meat.  (9/14/2026)

Brooke Rollins @USDA is no friend to Ohio farmers.  (9/13)

Cutting 'unnecessary' requirements in meat inspection?  What could possible go wrong? (9/10)

This is what happens when USDA falls down on the job with meat inspections (Thank you very much, Brooke Rollins).  (9/2)

Trump v. cattle producers:  How to lose friends and antagonize people  (Chapter 2)  (9/2)

Party like its 1906:  Donald Trump and Brooke Rollins @USDA wants to take us back to the days of The Jungle".  (9/1) 

August 2026

Trump World:  Open borders for immigrants?  NEIN!  Open borders for possibly screwworm-infected cattle?  JA!!  (8/31)

Trump action to lower tariffs on imported beef pisses off Montana cattle ranchers.  (8/29)

First recorded detection of bird flu in a marine mammal in Tasmania

 

Photo and headline:  ABC News Australia, 10.15/2026

Bird flu has been detected in a seal and a gull on Macquarie Island, a remote outpost halfway between Tasmania and Antarctica. 

Samples collected from a southern elephant seal and a kelp gull were returned with island personnel and subsequently tested, returning a positive result for H5 bird flu. 

Tasmania's Minister for Environment and Climate Change Guy Barnett said in a statement on Thursday it was the "first recorded detection in a marine mammal in Tasmania".

Other Australia bird flu posts:

September 16-30, 2026 

So far Tasmania has reported 45 events.  (9/29)

New South Wales reports 8 new events.  (9/26)

New South Wales reports 2 new events.  (9/25)

Victoria reports cases in fur seals.  (9/24)

Australia reports 4 sea lions test positive for bird flu.  (9/23)

Convulsing gulls.  (9/21)

New South Wales reports 8 more events.  (9/18)

September 1-15

Australia reports first case of bird flu in pelican.  (9/15)

New South Wales is ground zero for bird flu in Australia.  (9/14)

Australia bird flu news:  New South Wales reports five new events.  (9/14)

Australia reports sea lion death due to bird flu.  (9/13)

Australia bird flu news:  New South Wales has recorded "25 events".  (9/11)

Australia reports widespread outbreak of bird flu denial.  (9/10)

Rethinking how to deal with foxes as bird flu spreads in Australia. (9/9)

Bird flu reported at northern beach in Sydney Australia.  (9/7)

Tasmania begins vaccination of orange-bellied parrots.  (9/3)

August 16-31, 2026

Dolphin dies of bird flu in Australia.  (8/30)

"Psychological risk" on Macquarie Island.  (8/28)

Bird flu suspected case of red fox infection in Australia.  (8/27)

Australia's 12,000 remaining sea lions at risk from bird flu.  (8/26)

"Indicator status" of black swans.  (8/25)

Australia reports first mammal death from bird flu.  (8/24)

Kangaroo Island residents worry about spread of virus.  (8/23)

So far wild birds but not poultry affected .  (8/21)

Bird flu kills 1000 crested terns in South Australia.  (8/21)

Cause of mass death of birds in Victoria not yet confirmed.  (8/20)

Philip Island penguin dies of bird flu.  (8/17)

First reported case in Narooma sets off worries over impact on tourism business.  (8/16)

August 1-15, 2026

In Australia, avian flu takes a toll on wild birds.  (8/15)

Tasmania reports first case of bird flu.  (8/14)

Officials considers closing of public areas.  (8/13)

Chicken lockdown expands.  (8/13)

Poultry events cancelled at agricultural show.  (8/9)

New South Wales reports first case in native species.  (8/9)

Poultry farms in VIctoria go into lockdown,  (8/8)

Australia is facing a bird flu outbreak in wildlife.  (8/2)

Seagull tests positive for bird flu in Australia.  (8/1)

WATT Poultry finally gets around to reporting on bird flu in Australia and New Zealand after 6-week layoff.  (8/7)

Australia fears  a bird flu disaster is looming.  (8/6)

Spread of bird flu in Australia.  (8/4)

Mass mortality bird flu event in Australia.  (8/3)

July 2026

Australia sounds the alarm for local birds and sea lions.  (7/31)

Bird flu cases confirmed in South Australia.  (7/30)

Victoria reports first case of bird flu.  (7/30)

Will these 7 suspected cases of bird flu in South Australia be confirmed?   (7/28)

Two cases of bird flu reported in South Australia.  (7/26)

Queensland reports first case of bird flu.  (7/24)

Detected cases of bird flu in Australia jumps to 17.  (7/23)

6th and 7th cases of bird flu reported in Australia.  (7/4)

June 2026

Australia reports 4th case of bird flu.  (6/28)

Australia confirms 3rd case of bird flu.  (6/25)

Bird flu has now reached every continent.  (6/23)

First bird flu case in Australia leads to poultry farm lockdowns.  (6/23)

Australia reports its first case of bird flu.  (6/19)