Monday, September 28, 2026

Wisconsin 2026 elections: Republican Bruce Stabenow challenges 4-term Democratic incumbent Jodi Emerson in 91st Assembly District

 
Before redistricting, the GOP gerrymandered 91st Assembly District provided yet another example of packing an urban area of the state, i.e., drawing particular districts in such a way as to ensure that another party's candidate wins that seat by a tremendous margin.  [See election graph below.]

The City of Eau Claire has a population of 72,500.  The average population of an Assembly district is between 59,000 and 60,000
 
Redistricting created a much more competitive district that includes that east side of the City of Eau Claire, eastern Eau Claire County, and the southeast corner of Chippewa County.

Maps and election results:  Ballotpedia

As they do in the 90th Assembly District in Green Bay, the 91st election results in 2018, 2020, and 2022 illustrate the goal of "packing".  Redistricting created a much more competitive district.  In 2024, Democratic incumbent Jodi Emerson won by 3,2 percentage points compared to an average of 28 points in her previous three elections

The numbers from the August primary elections indicate that Emerson is likely to win a 5th term by a healthier margin.  Running unopposed, she received 8,628 votes out of 8,865 cast in her primary,  Her GOP challenger Bruce Stabenow, also running unopposed, received just 3,308 votes out of 3,316 cast in his primary.  (Bruce has no photos on his campaign website,  Had to scrounge for the one I found.)




The new map of the 31st State Senate District also restores the connection between the "community of interest" of Eau Claire and Chippewa Falls.

The Redistricting Data Hub website defines a "community of interest" as: ...a group of people with shared concerns, interests, and characteristics. Every COI is unique; they might be formed around neighborhoods or the physical landscape, cultures, values, and many other things. Because of these shared interests and concerns, a common redistricting criteria is that COIs be considered during the process.


Related reading:

Malia Jones explains:
Two core concepts of gerrymandering were central to the arguments presented to the high court: cracking and packing. A third process, known as stacking, also crops up in gerrymandered political maps, but was not the focus of Gill v. Whitford.
Cracking and packing both refer to specific ways of drawing legislative boundaries with the outcomes of elections in mind. These two processes operate in tension with one another, but both can be implemented by a party in power seeking to maximize its electoral chances through gerrymandering. 
Packing refers to the practice of drawing particular districts in such a way as to ensure that another party's candidate wins that seat by a tremendous margin. Although the opposing party is all but guaranteed the seat, packing makes surrounding districts less competitive, and thus tips the balance of power in the legislative body overall toward the ruling party. 
Cracking involves drawing districts in such a way as to divide a concentration of specific types of voters across several districts such that they are a minority in each one, with practically no hope of achieving representation in any of the districts. This practice also helps make districts less competitive. [emphasis added]

Other Wisconsin 2026 election posts:
1st Assembly District.  (6/11/2026)
2nd Assembly District.  (6/14/2026)
3rd Assembly District.  (6/15/2026)
4th Assembly District.  (6/17/2026)
5th Assembly District.  (6/18/2026)
6th Assembly District.  (6/20/2026)
7th Assembly District.  (6/21/2026)
8th Assembly District.  (6/21/2026)
9th Assembly District.  (6/22/2026)
10th Assembly District.  (6/23/2026)

11th Assembly District.  (6/23/2026)
12th Assembly District.  (4/17/2026)
13th Assembly District.  (6/25/2026)
14th Assembly District.  (6/25/2026)
15th Assembly District.  (6/25/2026)
16th Assembly District.  (4/17/2026)
17th Assembly District.  (6/30/2026)
18th Assembly District.  (6/30/2026)
24th Assembly District.  (4/19/2026)
26th Assembly District.  (4/17/2026)
29th Assembly District.  (7/10/2026)

30th Assembly District.  (7/11/2026)
31st Assembly District.  (7/12/2026)
33rd Assembly District.  (7/15/2026)
34th Assembly District.  (4/24/2026)
35th Assembly District.  (4/15/2026)
36th Assembly District.  (7.16.2026)
37th Assembly District.  (4/20/2026)
39th Assembly District.  (7/18/2026)

40th Assembly District.  (7/19/2026)
41st Assembly District.  (7/20/2026)
42nd Assembly District.  (7/21/2026)
45th Assembly District.  (7/23/2026)
46th Assembly District.  (7/24/2026)
47th Assembly District.  (7/25/2026)
48th Assembly District.  (7/27/2026) 
49th Assembly District.  (7/28/2026)

50th Assembly District.  (7/29/2026)
51st Assembly District.  (7/30/2026)
52nd Assembly District.  (7/31/2026)
58th Assembly District.  (4/12/2026)
59th Assembly District.  (4/10/2026)

61st Assembly District.  (8/16/2026)
62th Assembly District.  (8/11/2026)
63rd Assembly District.  (8/16/2026)
64th Assembly District.  (8/17/2026)
65th Assembly District.  (8/18/2026)
67th Assembly District.  (8/24/2026)
68th Assembly District.  (8/25/2026)
69th Assembly District.  (8/26/2026)

70th Assembly District.  (8/27/2026)
72nd Assembly District.  (8/29/2026)
73rd Assembly District.  (8/31/2026)
78th Assembly District.  (9/14/2026)
79th Assembly District.  (9/15/2026)

80th Assembly District.  (9/16/2026)
81st Assembly District.  (9/17/2026)
83rd Assembly District.  (9/20/2026)
84th Assembly District.  (9/21/2026)
85th Assembly District.  (9/22/2026)
86th Assembly District.  (9/23/2026)
87th Assembly District.  (9/24/2026)
88th Assembly District.  (9/25/2026)

90th Assembly District.  (9/27/2026)
93rd Assembly District.  (4/11/2026) 
97th Assembly District.  (4/23/2026)
99th Assembly District.  (4/18/2026)

17th Senate District.  (4/14/2026)
23rd Senate District.  (4/15/2026)
31st Senate District.  (4/15/2026)

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