Bar graph and headline: Strength in Numbers, 3/13/2026
G. Morris Elliott explains:
A simple explanation for Trump’s non-rally is that his war is unpopular. I found that on average, just 38% of voters said they approved of the U.S. strikes in Iran.
But a full accounting of why polling rallies have happened historically reveals a more interesting story of public opinion about presidents and their wars.
I compiled approval data for every major U.S. military conflict since 1941 and compared the change in net presidential approval after the onset of hostilities. Then I went back to the political science literature on rally effects to figure out why Trump’s numbers haven’t moved. Scholars have identified roughly five conditions that produce a rally. Trump’s war fails on nearly all of them. [emphasis added]
Lots more graphs in Elliott's post.
Related posts:
March 11-15, 2026
March 6-10, 2026
Sycophants at Fox News give Trump cover with old news clip for his disrespect of slain soldiers. (3/9)
GOP as a bag of pretzels. (3/6)
March 1-5. 2026
Thanks to Trump's War of Whimsy against Iran, the price of crude oil has recently shot up 22%. (3/5)
Pete Hegseth at the podium: This is exactly what an authoritarian's henchman and fulltime sycophant would say. (3/4)
Thanks to Trump, price of oil spikes like a bad fever. You’ll soon be feeling the chill at the gas pump — if not already . (3/3)
Corporate media needs to stop acting like Trump means what he says (Iran War edition). (3/2)
February 2026
Donald Trump: Not a details guy (Attacking Iran edition). (2/26)
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