Tampa special election news: Democrat flips Florida State Senate District 14

 

Election results for 2022 and 2024 and district map:  Ballotpedia
Election result for 2026:  270 to Win

Headline:  The Downballot, 3/24/2026

David Nir reports:

In the second massive upset of the night for Florida Democrats, Brian Nathan, a Navy veteran and union official, flipped a state Senate seat that became vacant after Gov. Ron DeSantis tapped its previous occupant to serve as his lieutenant governor. 

Nathan overcame a huge financial disadvantage to beat Republican state Rep. Josie Tomkow and win the Tampa-area 14th District. Nathan was leading by a margin of 50.2 to 49.8 when Tomkow conceded. 

Earlier in the evening, Democrat Emily Gregory won a separate special election for a state House seat in Palm Beach County that includes Donald Trump’s seaside lair of Mar-a-Lago.\ 

DeSantis himself put the 14th District in peril for the GOP when he elevated Sen. Jay Collins to replace his previous second-in-command last August. Though the district had voted for Donald Trump by a 53-46 margin in 2024, four years earlier, it had gone for Joe Biden 51-47. On Tuesday night, it returned to form.  [emphasis added]

Other panic-inducing GOP special elections:

2026

Trump humiliated in Florida as Democrat flips his home district.  (3/24)

Democrats flip seat in New Hampshire House of Representatives special election.  (3/12)

Democrat flips Arkansas House of Representatives seat in special election.  (3/4)

Florida special election: House seat that includes Mar-a-Lago is up for grabs.  (2/18)

Republicans get whomped in Texas State Senate special election in red Fort Worth area district.  (2/1)

August-November 2025
Tennessee GOP panics over CD7 special election on December 2nd.  (11/24)

Tennessee 7th congressional district:  Republicans freaking out over another possible special election loss.  (11/17) 

Despite a shrinkage of registered voters, Iowa Democrats have enjoyed a good year in 2025.  (11/12)

Democratic candidate expands margin of victory in deep-blue VIrginia congressional district.  (9/10)

If the Democratic Party brand is in the toilet, where does that put the Republican Party?  (8/2)

January-April 2025

As we have recently learned, a 15-point margin of victory is no longer safe for the GOP.  (4/9)

Democrat Josh Weil cuts GOP margin of victory from 33 to 13.7 percentage points in deep-red Florida congressional district previously represented by Signalgate star performer Michael Waltz.  (4/2)

Democrat Gay Valimont cuts GOP margin of victory from 32 to 14.6 percentage points in deep-red Florida congressional district previously represented by Matt Gaetz.  (4/2)

Wisconsin elections:  What a difference 5 months and the road to authoritarianism makes!  (4/2)

Staying power? In Wisconsin, Donald Trump reveals a limp dick.  (4/2)

Keep an eye out on this special election in Florida.  It will tell us just how toxic Trump/Musk/DOGE has become to voters.  (3/30)

Democrat flips a state senate seat in a deep-red area of Pennsylvania.  (3/26)

Democrat flips state senate seat in increasingly red Iowa.  (1/29)