Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Misadventures in polling: YouGov/New York City Democratic mayoral primary

 
According to a June 17-23 YouGov poll, Andrew Cuomo was likely to beat Zohran Mamdani by 10 percentage points.  As it turned out, Mamdani beat Cuomo by 7.1 percentage points.

New York City mayoral race pollingNew York Times
New York City mayoral race resultsNew York Times
HeadlineNew York Times, 6/25/2025


Emma G. Fitzsimmons and Nicholas Fandos report:
Mr. Cuomo, who resigned as governor in 2021 following allegations of sexual harassment that he denies, led in the polls for months. But Mr. Mamdani gained momentum with younger voters by focusing on a message that the city was unaffordable, spreading it through viral social media videos.
 

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