Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Misadventures in polling: Emerson College handicaps the New York City Democratic mayoral primary

 
According to a Jun 16-20 Emerson College poll, Andrew Cuomo was likely to beat Zohran Mamdani by 2 percentage points, indicating a tightening race between the two candidates.  

As it turned out, Mamdani beat Cuomo by 7.1 percentage points.  

New York City mayoral race polling:  New York Times
New York City mayoral race results:  New York Times
Headline:  New York Times, 6/24/2025

Emma G. Fitzsimmons and Nicholas Fandos report:
Zohran Mamdani, a little-known state lawmaker whose progressive platform and campaign trail charisma electrified younger voters, stunned former Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo in the Democratic primary for mayor of New York City on Tuesday night, building a lead so commanding that Mr. Cuomo conceded.  Mr. Mamdani, a 33-year-old democratic socialist from Queens, tapped into a current of anxiety around New York City’s growing affordability crisis. His joyful campaign brought new voters into the fold who rejected the scandal-scarred Mr. Cuomo’s ominous characterizations of the city and embraced an economic platform that included everything from free bus service and child care to publicly owned grocery stores.


Related posts:
YouGov.  (6/25/2025)
Harris X.  (6/25/2025)

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