Sunday, January 24, 2016

New Hampshire and the "lamentations of the 68 Percent"


Trump continues to rule the roost in the New Hampshire Presidential primary polls.


But a lot of Granite State Republicans are making contrarian noises.

A G.O.P. Majority in New Hampshire Pipes Up: We’re Not for Donald Trump.  (The New York Times, 1/22/2016)
These are the lamentations of the 68 Percent — the significant majority of Republican voters here who are immune to Mr. Trump’s charms and entreaties, according to a battery of voter interviews on Thursday at campaign events for his rivals. 
For months, great quantities of ink, political-science brain power and polling resources have been expended trying to dissect, if not exactly diagnose, the Trump phenomenon — precisely who supports him and why. 
Far less energy has been devoted to sounding out a much larger segment of the electorate: those who reject him.

The behinders in the 1/18-21 CBS News/You Gov poll:
  • 5% - Ben Carson
  • 4% - Carly Fiorina
  • 3% - Rand Paul
  • 0% - Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum
Other stuff:
  • "Could never consider"
    • 70% - John Kasich
    • 69% - Donald Trump (but I thought it was the 'lamentations of the 68'
    • 67% - Ben Carson

The behinders in the 1/18-21 FOX News poll:
  • 5% - Rand Paul, Ben Carson
  • 3% - Carly Fiorina
  • 1% - Mike Huckabee
  • 0% - Rick Santorum
Other stuff:
  • "True conservative values" is not as important voting factor among New Hampshire voters

2016 New Hampshire primary posts: 
Little engine malfunction? Kasich drops 14 points in a single day in New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary polls.  (1/21/2016)
Kasich surges, Cruz stumbles, Carson approaches Santorum territory in latest New Hampshire poll.  (1/19/2016)
Have you polled New Hampshire voters yet this year? Everyone else has, it seems. (1/11/2016)
The fast and the furious: 4 New Hampshire polls released in 2 days.  (1/10/2016)
Trump remains above it all in New Hampshire.  (1/10/2016)
New Hampshire feels the earth move as Christie takes a tumble in latest statewide poll.  (1/9/2016)
Trump gets a bump in 1st New Hampshire poll of 2016.  (1/7/2016)

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