Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Even Trump-friendly Rasmussen polls can't keep Trump's head above water


Headline and top poll averagesStrength in Numbers, 8/4/2026
Trump-friendly polls averagesRasmussen

G. Elliott Morris reports at Strength in Numbers:
Among high-quality pollsters that released new surveys in the last week, the president’s best approval percentage among U.S. adults has been 35%. 
[snip] 
But Trump’s incredibly low rating — barely above 1/3rd of the public — raises an important statistical question. With modern levels of political polarization, it should be nearly impossible for the president’s rating to be this low. Right? About 40% of people are Republicans, and aren’t the uniformly MAGA? 
The answer is that two important groups of former supporters are turning on him — and a third is incredibly activated against the GOP, too.  
[snip] 
Trump’s approval is at 36% (and falling!) because he is losing both swing voters and those voters who are supposed to be the most loyal to him.
Rasmussen has never been categorized as a "high-quality pollster".  Its only purpose since 2015 has been to pump up the Trump jam.

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