Graph: The Economist
Fantasy headline: The White House, 4/30/3026
Karl Marx said that men make their own history, but they do not make it as they please. That goes for Mr. Trump as much as for anyone else. Public opinion in Mr Trump’s first term came to be dominated by concern about health care, especially after the outbreak of covid-19. The economic effects of the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 made inflation a defining issue of Mr Biden’s presidency. The chart above shows which issues have been most important to American adults since 2017, based on weekly survey data from YouGov.
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Among 2024 voters, Trump is seriously underwater in the 5 swing states he won in 2024. (5/4/2026)
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