Saturday, November 2, 2024

Collin County, Texas: Keep an eye on this north suburban area of Dallas on Election Day

 
In 1984, Ronald Reason won Collin County by 63.4 percentage points.

In 2020, Donald Trump won the county by just 4.4 percentage points.

Will the county flip from Red to Blue in 2024?

3rd party votes:  34% in 1992, 8.5% in 1996. 6/3% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 23.7% of the vote in 1968)

Trump received 51,304 more votes than he did in 2016, a 26% increase.   Biden received 90,321 more votes than Clinton did in 2016, an increase of 64%.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 3.8 percentage points.  Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 8.4 percentage points. 

Collin County's population has increased more than 700% since 1980.


And its population is very diverse.


With its residents having, on average, a higher level of education, Collin County is not fertile ground for MAGA.

% of population 25 and older with bachelor's degree:
  • 54.3% - Collin County
  • 32.3% - Texas
  • 34.3% - U.S.
% of population 65 and older:
  • 11.9% - Collin County
  • 13.7% - Texas
  • 17.7% - U.S.
% of population living in poverty:
  •   4.8% - Collin County
  • 13.7% - Texas
  • 11.1% - U.S. 




Other candidates to flip Blue in 2024:

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