Retiring Guy's Digest

The Trafalgar poll shows Spanberger leading Earle-Sears for governor 47.7% to 45.1%, which is within the poll’s 2.9% margin of error. Five and a half percent of likely voters were undecided in the governor’s race.

In the race for Virginia Lieutenant Governor, the Trafalgar poll shows Democrat Sen. Ghazala Hashmi leading Republican John Reid 46.8 to 45.9%.

In the race for Virginia Attorney General, the Trafalgar poll shows Republican incumbent Jason Miyares leading Democrat Jay Jones by nearly six points, 48.9% to 43.1%.

Wrong! Wrong! Wrong!

New York Times

Other Cahaly misfires:

December 2023

Best to take any poll from Trafalgar with a grain of salt. (12/6)

November 2023

America's most pilloried pollster thinks Republican's bad night in Virginia won't tarnish Glenn Youngkin. (11/8)

October 2023

The only trend here is Robert Cahaly being WRONG WRONG WRONG like he was in 2022. (10/29)

February 2023

Trafalgar leaves deep and lasting stain on polling profession with off-the-charts dreadful performance in 2022 midterms. (2/13)

January 2023

RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (RNC chair election edition). (1/27)

RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (Border security edition). (1/27)

RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face value (RNC edition). (1/26)

Day 61 of Robert C. Cahaly's self-imposed exile. (1/7)

FiveThirtyEight reports Trafalgar poll with a straight face. (1/6)

December 2022

In a year when conservative pollsters tried to drive the election narrative, Politico sez "HOORAY " for polls. (12/31)
Rule #1: Never cite a Trafalgar poll to bolster your argument. (12/24)

November 2022

And then there were those Trafalgar fantasy polls. (11/21)

Since Election Day, we have been listening to 'The Sounds of Silence" by Robert C. Cahaly. (11/16)

Looking forward to Trafalgar's first fantasy poll of the 2024 GOP presidential campaign shit show. (11/16)

Governor's race in Arizona. (11/16)

Governor's race in Colorado. (11/16)

Governor's race in New York. (11/15)

Governor's rate in Michigan. (11/11)

Governor's race in Minnesota. (11/16)

Governor's race in Pennsylvania. (11/14)

Governor's race in Wisconsin. (11/14)

Senate race in Arizona. (11/15)

Senate race in Colorado. (11/14)

Senate race in Nevada. (11/14)

Senate race in New Hampshire. (11/14)

Senate race in Pennsylvania. (11/14)

Senate race in Vermont. (11/11)

Senate race in Washington. (11/11)

Why couldn't Chuck Schumer, Kristen Gillibrand, and Hillary Clinton support a candidate who campaign on such "radical" issues as affordability, transportation, housing, child care, and public safety?

Headline: New York Times, 11/6/2025

Michael Gold and Katie Glueck report:

Mr. Schumer was far from the only prominent Democrat to withhold support from Mr. Mamdani. The mayor-elect won without endorsements from New York’s other Democratic senator, Kirsten Gillibrand; its state party chair, Jay Jacobs; or Hillary Clinton, the former New York senator and the last Democratic presidential nominee from the state, who expressed reservations about him in the final stages of the election. Representative Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic House minority leader, endorsed Mr. Mamdani only toward the end of the race and never campaigned alongside him.

What's wrong @nytimes: Continuing to bash Zohran Mamdani. (8/16/2025)

How much clout does 78-year-old Bill Clinton have? (6/25/2025)