With its A- FiveThirtyEight rating, Trafalgar turns midterm polling into a clown show (New Hampshire edition)

 

Bolduc with a small lead?  Welcome to Bobby's storytime.      

Sources:   New York Times, Slate

Bobby keeps trying to pull a rabbit out of his hat.  To no avail.

Trafalgar had Republican challenger Don Boldac with a 1.3 percentage-point lead in its early November poll.  Democratic incumbent Maggie Hassan won the election by 9.2 percentage points.  That's a 10.5 point oopsie for Bobby.

It's no wonder that his Twitter account has been inactive since November 8.

Screenshots and headline:  Slate, 11/10/2022 (top screenshot PhotoFunia-ed)

Poll rating: FiveThirtyEight (green box added)

Twitter

Other Trafalgar clown show visits: 

Governor's race in Michigan.  (11/11/2022)

Governor's race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14/2022)

Governor's race in Wisconsin.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11/2022)

Senate race in Washington.  (11/11/2022)