Sunday, November 18, 2018

Wisconsin 2018 elections UPDATE: Trump effect allows Washburn County to crack The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats -- just barely


Sources:  Wikipedia (presidential, gubernatorial 201020142018)

2016-2018 INCREASE in votes for Democrats:   0.3% 
2016-2018 decrease in votes for Republicans:     18%

 2014-2018 increase in votes for Democrats:        7%
2014-2018 increase in votes for Republicans:    13%

2012-2014 decrease in votes for Democrats:      31%
2012-2014 decrease in votes for Republicans:   10%

2008-2010 decrease in votes for Democrats:     37%
2008-2010 decrease in votes for Republicans:  17%


Percentage change in votes
from 2016 to 2018, by county

Percentage change in votes from 2016 to 2018, 
in counties that voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012 
and Trump in 2016
(Counties that cracked The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats highlighted in blue)

Updated posts:
Wisconsin.  (11/7/2018 update)
Adams County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ashland County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Barron County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Bayfield County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Brown County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Buffalo County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Burnett County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Calumet County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Chippewa County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Clark County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Columbia County. (11/8/2018 update)
Crawford County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dane County. (11/8/2018 update)
Dodge County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Door County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Douglas County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dunn County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Eau Claire County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florence County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Fond du Lac County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Forest County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Grant County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Green County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Green Lake County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Iowa County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Iron County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Jackson County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Jefferson County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Juneau County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Kenosha County.   (11/12/2018 update)
Kewaunee County.  (11/7/2018 update)
La Crosse County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Lafayette County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Langlade County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Lincoln County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Manitowoc County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Marathon County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Marinette County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Marquette County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Menominee County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Milwaukee County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Monroe County.  (11/13/2018 update)
Oconto County.  (11/14/2018 update)
Oneida County.  (11/13/2018 update)
Outagamie County.  (11/14/2018 update)
Ozaukee County.  (11/14/2018 update)
Pepin County.  (11/14/2018 update)
Pierce County.  (11/14/2018 update)
Polk County.  (11/15/2018 update)
Portage County.   (11/15/2018 update)
Price County.  (11/15/2018 update)
Racine County.  (11/15/2018 update)
Richland County.  (11/16/2018 update)
Rock County.  (11/16/2018 update)
Rusk County.  (11/16/2018 update)
Sauk County.  (11/16/2018 update)
Sawyer County.   (11/16/2018 update)
Shawano County.  (11/16/2018 update)
Sheboygan County.  (11/16/2018 update)
St. Croix County.  (11/17/2018 update)
Taylor County.  (11/17/2018 update)
Trempealeau County.  (11/19/2016)
Vernon County.  (11/17/2018 update)
Vilas County.  (11/17/2018 update)
Walworth County.  (11/18/2018 update)
Washburn County.  (11/18/2018 update)
Washington County,.  (11/21/2016)
Waukesha County.  (11/20/2016)
Waupaca County.  (11/22/2016)
Waushara County.  (11/22/2016)
Winnebago County.  (11/22/2016
Wood County.  (11/22/2016)


11/21/2016 update starts here.

2016 update:  Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (100% reporting)

2012-2016 % change in vote by party
  •   +15.0%  Republicans
  •    -24.8%  Democrats
Third party tallies
  • Gary Johnson 267 (3%) 
  • Jill Stein 74 (1%)

County rankings of vote change by party


Counties where Trump won 60% or more of the vote are highlighted


Source:  Wikipedia  (rotation added)


Original 11/27/2014 post, "Washburn County, Wisconsin: The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats", starts here.

2008-2010 drop in Democratic voter participation:  37% vs. 17% for Republicans.
2012-2014 drop in Democratic voter participation:  31% vs. 16% for Republicans.

Walker's vote total increased by 11% in 2014 compared to 2010.  Mary Burke received 3% more votes than Tom Barrett in 2010.

2008, 2010, and 2012 election figures from the (soon-to-be-snuffed?) Government Accountability Board.  The 2014 figures are preliminary.

Source:  Wikipedia

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