Sunday, March 28, 2021

Prince William County, Virginia: Why the GOP believes that voter suppression is the only path to survival

   

Washington DC metro area (northern Virginia)

Prince William County.  From a 38.1 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 27 percentage point Democratic advantage in 2020.  

3rd party votes:  18.2% in 1992, 7.3% in 1996, 5.9% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 27.7% of the vote in 1968)

Trump received 3,401 more votes than he did in 2016, a 5% increase.   Biden received 29,717 more votes than Clinton did in 2016, an increase of 26%.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 0.9 percentage points. Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 5 percentage points

The GOP suburban problem, graphed.  (Same source as line graph above.)


Demographically speaking.

% of population 25 and older with bachelor's degree:
  • 41.1% - Prince William County
  • 38.8% - Virginia
  • 32.1% - U.S.
% of population 65 and older:
  • 10.3% - Prince William County
  •   9.7% - Virginia
  • 16.5% - U.S.
% of population living in poverty:
  •   6.1% - Prince William County
  •   9.9% - Virginia
  • 10.5% - U.S. (they're joking, of course)

The GOP dumbing down of America is not working in Prince William County.  

Other GOP nightmare locations:
Denver metro area:

Colorado.  Adams County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Arapahoe County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Denver County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Douglas County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Jefferson County.  (3/25/2021)

Atlanta metro area:


Georgia.  Clayton County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Cobb County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  DeKalb County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Douglas County.  (3/27/2021)
Georgia.  Fayette County.  (3/27/2021)
Georgia.  Forsyth County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Gwinnett County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Henry County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia   Rockdale County.  (3/26/2021)

Indianpolis metro area:

Indiana.  Hamilton County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Hancock County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Hendricks County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Johnson County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Marion County.  (3/24/2021)

Minneapolis/St. Paul metro area
Minnesota.  Anoka County.  (3/22/2021)
Minnesota.  Carver County.  (3/21/2021)
Minnesota.  Dakota County.  (3/22/2021)
Minnesota.  Washington County.  (3/22/2021)

Kansas City metro area:
Missouri.  Clay County.  (3/22/2021)
Missouri.  Platte County.  (3/22/2021)

Dallas/Fort Worth metro area:
Texas.  Collin County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Dallas County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Denton County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Ellis County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Kaufman County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Tarrant County.  (3/24/2021)

Washington DC metro area
Virginia.  Fairfax County.  (3/28/2021)
Virginia.  Loudoun County.  (3/28/2021)

Milwaukee metro area
Wisconisn.  Ozaukee County. (3/23/2021) 
Wisconsin.  Waukesha County.  (3/23/2021)

Loudoun County, Virginia: Why the GOP believes that voter suppression is the only path to survival

  

Washington DC metro area (northern Virginia)

Loudoun County.  From a 36.5 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 25 percentage point Democratic advantage in 2020.  

3rd party votes:  18.8% in 1992, 7.4% in 1996, 6.7% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 21.3% of the vote in 1968)

Trump received 12,139 more votes than he did in 2016, a 17% increase.   Biden received 37,577 more votes than Clinton did in 2016, an increase of 37%.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 1.7 percentage points.  Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 6 percentage points

The GOP suburban problem, graphed.  (Same source as line graph above.)

Demographically speaking.


% of population 25 and older with bachelor's degree:
  • 61.3% - Loudoun County
  • 38.8% - Virginia
  • 32.1% - U.S.
% of population 65 and older:
  • 14.0% - Loudoun County
  •   9.7% - Virginia
  • 16.5% - U.S.
% of population living in poverty:
  •   3.1% - Loudoun County
  •   9.9% - Virginia
  • 10.5% - U.S. (they're joking, of course)

The GOP dumbing down of America is not working in Loudoun County.  

Other GOP nightmare locations:
Denver metro area:

Colorado.  Adams County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Arapahoe County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Denver County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Douglas County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Jefferson County.  (3/25/2021)

Atlanta metro area:


Georgia.  Clayton County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Cobb County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  DeKalb County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Douglas County.  (3/27/2021)
Georgia.  Fayette County.  (3/27/2021)
Georgia.  Forsyth County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Gwinnett County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Henry County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia   Rockdale County.  (3/26/2021)

Indianpolis metro area:

Indiana.  Hamilton County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Hancock County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Hendricks County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Johnson County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Marion County.  (3/24/2021)

Minneapolis/St. Paul metro area
Minnesota.  Anoka County.  (3/22/2021)
Minnesota.  Carver County.  (3/21/2021)
Minnesota.  Dakota County.  (3/22/2021)
Minnesota.  Washington County.  (3/22/2021)

Kansas City metro area:
Missouri.  Clay County.  (3/22/2021)
Missouri.  Platte County.  (3/22/2021)

Dallas/Fort Worth metro area:
Texas.  Collin County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Dallas County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Denton County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Ellis County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Kaufman County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Tarrant County.  (3/24/2021)

Washington DC metro area
Virginia.  Fairfax County.  (3/28/2021)

Milwaukee metro area
Wisconisn.  Ozaukee County. (3/23/2021) 
Wisconsin.  Waukesha County.  (3/23/2021)

Fairfax County, Virginia: Why the GOP believes that voter suppression is the only path to survival

 

Washington DC metro area (northern Virginia)

Fairfax County.  From a 36.1 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 41.9 percentage point Democratic advantage in 2020.  

3rd party votes:  14.1% in 1992, 5.2% in 1996, 7% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 12.9% of the vote in 1968)

Trump received 10,691 more votes than he did in 2016, a 7% increase.   Biden received 64,810 more votes than Clinton did in 2016, an increase of 18%.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 0.6 percentage points.  Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 5.5 percentage points

The GOP suburban problem, graphed.  (Same source as line graph above.)

Demographically speaking.


% of population 25 and older with bachelor's degree:
  • 61.6% - Fairfax County
  • 38.8% - Virginia
  • 32.1% - U.S.
% of population 65 and older:
  • 14.0% - Fairfax County
  • 15.8% - Virginia
  • 16.5% - U.S.
% of population living in poverty:
  •   6.0% - Fairfax County
  •   9.9% - Virginia
  • 10.5% - U.S. (they're joking, of course)

The GOP dumbing down of America is not working in Fairfax County.  

Other GOP nightmare locations:
Denver metro area:

Colorado.  Adams County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Arapahoe County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Denver County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Douglas County.  (3/25/2021)
Colorado.  Jefferson County.  (3/25/2021)

Atlanta metro area:


Georgia.  Clayton County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Cobb County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  DeKalb County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Douglas County.  (3/27/2021)
Georgia.  Fayette County.  (3/27/2021)
Georgia.  Forsyth County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Gwinnett County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia.  Henry County.  (3/26/2021)
Georgia   Rockdale County.  (3/26/2021)

Indianpolis metro area:

Indiana.  Hamilton County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Hancock County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Hendricks County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Johnson County.  (3/23/2021)
Indiana.  Marion County.  (3/24/2021)

Minneapolis/St. Paul metro area
Minnesota.  Anoka County.  (3/22/2021)
Minnesota.  Carver County.  (3/21/2021)
Minnesota.  Dakota County.  (3/22/2021)
Minnesota.  Washington County.  (3/22/2021)

Kansas City metro area:
Missouri.  Clay County.  (3/22/2021)
Missouri.  Platte County.  (3/22/2021)

Dallas/Fort Worth metro area:
Texas.  Collin County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Dallas County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Denton County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Ellis County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Kaufman County.  (3/24/2021)
Texas.  Tarrant County.  (3/24/2021)

Milwaukee metro area
Wisconisn.  Ozaukee County. (3/23/2021) 
Wisconsin.  Waukesha County.  (3/23/2021)