The district includes the liberal North Shore suburbs in Milwaukee County, increasingly purple areas in Ozaukee and Waukesha counties, and a big slab of red meat in ultra-conservative Washington County.
Darling won by 8.5 percentage points in 2020, with a comfortable 10,000+ vote margin.
Best scenario for Democrats: ultra-conservative election denier from Washington County wins the GOP primary.
Map: Ballotpedia
Announcement: @SenDarling
Based on this language in the state statutes, it's likely that Governor Evers will call a special election that coincides with the spring elections.
Wisconsin State Legislature (orange box added)
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