No flip. But Democrat Amy McGrath gave the GOP incumbent Andy Barr a run for his money. She cut his 2016 margin of victory by 19 percentage points.
The second NY Times/Siena poll had the candidates tied. Apparently, though, a substantial number of voters didn't make a decision until Election Day.
Source: Real Clear Politics
Rep. Andy Barr is serving his third term, having defeated the 4-term Democratic incumbent Ben Chandler in 2012.
Another 'flip flop' in Congress? 2018 midterms give Democrats hope (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 2/8/2018)
In Kentucky’s 6th district, where Trump won by 16 points, U.S. Rep. Andy Barr faces a Democratic field that currently includes the mayor of Lexington, a sitting state senator and a retired U.S. Marine lieutenant colonel and pilot, Amy McGrath, whose initial campaign video went viral as she walked down a runway with jets lined up behind her, telling the camera, “Some are telling me a Democrat can’t win that battle in Kentucky. We’ll see about that.” Local political experts believe Barr is in trouble.
Lexington keeps the 6th from being a blindingly bright red.
Trump received 54.7% of the vote in 2016 compared to 55.8% for Romney in 2012 and 53.7% for McCain in 2008.
Clinton received 39.4% of the vote in 2016 compared to 42.2% for Obama in 2012 and 44.8% for Obama in 2008.
Other U.S. House 2018 election outlooks:
Martha McSally, Arizona 2nd. (10/8/2017)
Jeff Denham, California 10th. (10/9/2017)
David Valadao, California 21st. (10/10/2017)
Steve Knight, California 25th. (11/7/2018 update)
Ed Royce, California 29th. (10/12/2017)
Open seat. California 39th. (9/6/2018)
Mimi Walters, California 45th. (2/12/2018)
Scott Tipton, Colorado 3rd. (11/7/2018 update)
Mike Coffman, Colorado 6th. (11/8/2018 update)
Dennis Ross, Florida 15th. (11/9/2018 update)
Brian Mast, Florida 18th. (11/9/2018 update)
Carlos Curbelo, Florida 26th. (11/9/2018 update)
Florida 27th. (8/31/2018)
Peter Roskam, Illinois 6th. (11/10/2018 update)
Mike Bost, Illinois 12th. (11/10/2018 update)
Rod Blum, Iowa 1st. (11/11/2018 update)
David Young, Iowa 3rd. (11/11/2018 update)
Kevin Yoder, Kansas 3rd. (11/12/2018 update)
Andy Barr, Kentucky 6th. (2/12/2018)
Mike Bishop, Michigan 8th. (2/12/2018)
Jason Lewis, Minnesota 2nd. (10/12/2018 update)
Erik Paulsen, Minnesota 3rd. (10/17/2017)
Don Bacon, Nebraska 2nd. (10/18/2017)
Open seat. New Jersey 2nd. (10/10/2018)
Tom MacArthur, New Jersey 3rd. (10/19/2017)
Leonard Lance, New Jersey 7th. (2/14/2018)
Lee Zeldin, New York 1st. (2/12/2018)
John Faso, New York 19th. (2/12/2018)
Claudia Tenney, New York 22nd. (10/21/2017)
John Katko, New York 24th. (2/12/2018)
Steve Chabot, Ohio 1st. (2/12/2018)
Ryan Costello, Pennsylvania 6th. (10/23/2017)
Pennsylvania 7th. (8/29/2018)
Will Hurd, Texas 23rd. (4/15/2018)
Pete Sessions, Texas 32nd. (4/15/2018)
Scott Taylor, Virginia 2nd. (8/28/2018)
Disgraced Tom Garrett. Virginia 5th. (9/2/2018)
David Brat, Virginia 7th. (9/2/2018)
West Virginia 3rd. (8/28/2018)
Other Barr posts:
Hal Rogers, Andy Barr, Evan Jenkins have a coal-fired vision for America. (12/9/2015)
Meet the members of the Republican Study Committee. (7/13/2015)
No friend to the environment. (1/14/2015)