Source: Real Clear Politics
How Moderates Split Between Biden, Bloomberg Could Give Sanders An Edge. (WAMU, 3/2/2020)
Live by the polls, die by the polls. In Virginia, Biden is riding high from a resounding win in South Carolina’s primary, while Bloomberg is making his long-awaited entry debut the Democratic nominating contests.
Polling has shown Biden, Bloomberg and Sanders in the top three in Virginia going into Tuesday’s primary. A mid-February poll from Monmouth University had Bloomberg and Sanders at 22% apiece among likely voters, trailed slightly by Biden at 18%. And a poll last week from the Wason Center at Christopher Newport University had Biden at 22%, Sanders at 17% and Bloomberg at 13%.
It's best to look at polling averages and not individual polls, Martin, especially with a presidential campaign in constant flux. Buttigieg and Klobuchar suspending their campaigns and endorsing Biden had the desired effect. A poll from mid-February was already a relic at the time you wrote your piece.
Related reading:
How A Moderate Virginia May Boost Bloomberg’s Presidential Prospects. (WAMU, 2/21/2020_
Experts and voters alike say money has played a role in Bloomberg's somewhat meteoric rise in the Virginia polls, but so does the commonwealth's status as a moderately blue state.Martin Austinmuhle makes a living from misreading the Virginia electorate.
Related posts:
South Carolina
Polls underestimate extent of Joe Biden's surge in South Carolina. (3/1/2020)
New Hampshire
Misadventures in polling: Ipsos considerably off the mark with its final New Hampshire primary election poll. (2/12/2020)
2020 New Hampshire primary election: Many polls didn't see an Amy Klobuchar surge coming. (2/12/2020)
Misadventures in polling: Monmouth University considerably off the mark with its final New Hampshire primary election poll. (2/12/2020)
Misadventures in polling: Morning Consult considerably off the mark with its final New Hampshire primary election poll. (2/12/2020)
Iowa
Point/counterpoint: Iowa caucuses (on the same day in the same newspaper). (2/10/2020)
From first to worst: Iowa caucuses are the tail that wags the dog. (2/7/2020)
We don't have a decisive winner in the Iowa caucuses, but Joe Biden is the clear loser. (2/7/2020)
What 'earnest participation in democracy'? (2/6/2020)
Dear Troy Price, Does not compute. Best, Retiring Guy. (2/5/2020)
The big waste of money otherwise known as ad buying for the 2020 Iowa caucuses. (2/5/2020)
With the Iowa caucuses, the prognostication and handwringing occur early and often. (2/4/2020)
The first to worst in the nation Iowa caucuses. (2/4/2020)
Remember. Rick Santorum won the Iowa caucus in 2012. (2/3/2020)
What 'earnest participation in democracy'? (2/6/2020)
Dear Troy Price, Does not compute. Best, Retiring Guy. (2/5/2020)
The big waste of money otherwise known as ad buying for the 2020 Iowa caucuses. (2/5/2020)
With the Iowa caucuses, the prognostication and handwringing occur early and often. (2/4/2020)
The first to worst in the nation Iowa caucuses. (2/4/2020)
Remember. Rick Santorum won the Iowa caucus in 2012. (2/3/2020)
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