Sources: Real Clear Politics, The New York Times
Polling expert sees possible 'late surge' for Biden in South Carolina from Steyer voters. (The Hill, 2/25/2020)
Biden leads among Steyer voters’ second choice candidate at 40 percent, with Sanders earning 30 percent of the second choice pick, and the rest of voters are “scattered” among the other candidates, Kerr said.
“So if we see a late surge here for Joe Biden, that’s probably gonna get taken out of a chunk out of Tom Steyer voters whose support may be a little bit weaker,” he said.
Then there are these takes.
There are bad polls, and then there are incredibly bad polls. It was inconceivable back then, but there is a chance today that the veep may actually lose it. NBC News and Marist released a poll on Tuesday, February 25, showing Biden up by only 4 points [emphasis added] against Bernie Sanders, well within the margin of error. The poll was horrible news for Biden, whose entire presidential campaign rests on a win in South Carolina this Saturday. Biden beat Sanders by almost 30 percentage points.
Hours before South Carolina’s polls open, Bernie Sanders said at a breakfast Friday that he has “a shot to win this” after beginning the primary 30 percentage points behind Joe Biden.
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“The main difference between last time and this time is time,” former Ohio State Sen. NinaTurner tells me. “I can 100% guarantee we are going to do much better than in 2016, and I do believe we have a shot to win in this state.”
The crown goes to this gem.
The momentum model, which also takes into account the results from the Nevada caucuses last Saturday, found that Sanders will win South Carolina handily, with 28.4% of the vote share. Biden is projected to finish in second place with 17.5% of the vote. [emphasis added]
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