Thursday, April 1, 2021

Moving in the wrong direction: 7-day average of new COVID-19 cases in New York increase 80% in late March


An uptick in the 7-day average since mid-March.


With the New York City metro area leading the way.

 




New York Times, 3/31/2021
“The shoulder of the second wave,” said Dr. Ronald Scott Braithwaite, a professor at N.Y.U. Grossman School of Medicine who has been modeling New York City’s epidemic and is an adviser to the city. “We’ve been talking about it for weeks, and nobody can come up with a better term.” 
But the description does underscore one important point: New York’s second wave never really ended. Cases were rising by November, peaked in early January, and after dropping, leveled off more than a month ago.

As of March 7, the Covid Tracking Project is no longer collection new data.


2/15/2021 update starts here

New York Times

Total tests (positive and negative):  35,217,456
  • Feb 9-15:           1,521,806
  • Feb 2-8:             1,358,861
  • Jan 26-Feb 1:    1,574,249
  • Jan 19-25:         1,596,847
  • Jan 12-18:         1,640,797
  • Jan 5-11:           1,541,442
  • Dec 29-Jan 4:    1,230,104
  • Dec 22-28:        1,260,692
  • Dec 15-21:        1,252,524
  • Dec 8-14:          1,375,158
  • Dec 1-7:            1,178,808
  • Nov 24-30:       1,233,658
  • Nov 17-23:       1,310,997
  • Nov 10-16:       1,100,613
  • Nov 3-9:           1,003,476 
  • Oct 27-Nov 2:     938,514
  • Oct 20-26:           852,065
  • Oct 13-19:           860,869
  • Oct 6-12:             834,342
  • Sep 29-Oct 5:      735.902
  • Sep 22-28:           540,347
  • Sep 15-21:           599,144 
  • Sep 8-14:             526,542
  • Sep 1-7:               592,076
  • Aug 25-31:          558,103
  • Aug 18-24:          561,441 
  • Aug 11-17           563,646
  • Aug 4-10:            455,625

New cases week by week:
  • Feb 9-15:            56,924  (down 5% from previous week)
  • Feb 2-8:              60,056  (down 25%)
  • Jan 26-Feb 1:      80,174  (down 14%)
  • Jan 19-25:           93,415  (down 11%)
  • Jan 12-18:        105,389  (down 6%)
  • Jan 5-11:          111,794  (up 17 %)
  • Dec 29-Jan 4:    95,830  (up 27%)
  • Dec 22-28:         75,403  (up 2%)
  • Dec 15-21:         73,845  (up 12%)
  • Dec 8-14:           65,740  (down 2%)
  • Dec 1-7:             67,199  (up 47%)
  • Nov 24-30:        45,860  (up 19%)
  • Nov 17-23:        38,430  (up 47%)
  • Nov 10-16:        26,159  (up 30%)
  • Nov 3-9:            20,812  (up 41%) 
  • Oct 27-Nov 2:   14,713  (up 29%) 
  • Oct 20-26:         11,376  (up 14%)
  • Oct 13-19:           9,964  (up 2%)
  • Oct 6-12:             9,800  (up 8%)
  • Sep 29-Oct 5:      9,055  (up 65%)
  • Sep 22-28:           5,493  (up 9%) 
  • Sep 15-21:           5,025  (up 15%)
  • Sep 8-14:             4,370  (down 17%)
  • Sep 1-7:               5,265  (up 14%)
  • Aug 25-31:          4,621  (up 9%)
  • Aug 18-24:          4,229 (down 8%)
  • Aug 11-17:          4,588 (up 2%)
  • Aug 4-10:            4,493 (down slightly)
  • Jul 28-Aug 3       4,499 (down 10%)
  • July 21-27:          5,018 (down 1%)
  • July 14-20:          5,063 (up 5%)
  • July 7-13:            4,814 (up 2%) 
  • Jun 30-Jul 6:       4,719  (up 6%)
  • June 23-29:         4,442  (down 1%)
  • June 16-22:         4,544  (down 18%)
  • June 9-15:           5,545  (down 28%)
  • June 2-8:             7,688  (down 23%)
  • May 26-June 1:   9.947  (down 2.4%)
  • May 19-25:        10,193 
  • May 12-18:        14,516
  • May 5 -11:         19,002
  • Apr 28-May 4:   17,057
  • April 21 -27:      44,484
  • April 14- 20:      52,481
  • April 7-13:        64,342
  • Mar 31-Apr 6:    45,622



COVID Tracking Project


Deaths reported:
  • As of March 16 -          7
  • As of March 23 -      114
  • As of March 30 -   1,218 (+1,104)
  • As of April     6 -   4,758  (+3,540)
  • As of April   13 - 10,056  (+5,298)
  • As of April   20 - 14,347  (+4,291)
  • As of April   27 - 17,303  (+2,956)
  • As of May      4 - 19,415  (+2,112)
  • As of May    11 - 21,640  (+2,225)
  • As of May    18 - 22,729  (+1,089)
  • As of May    25 - 23,488  (+   659)
  • As of June      1 - 23,959  (+   471)
  • As of June      8 - 24,299  (+   340)
  • As of June    15 - 24,579  (+   280)
  • As of June    22 - 24,739  (+   160)
  • As of June    29 - 24,842  (+   103)
  • As of July       6 - 24,913  (+     71)
  • As of July     13 - 24,989  (+     76)
  • As of July     20 - 25,056  (+     67)
  • As of July     27 - 25,117  (+     61)
  • As of Aug       3 - 25,172  (+     55)
  • As of Aug     10 - 25,204  (+     32) 
  • As of Aug     17 - 25,256  (+     52)
  • As of Aug     24 - 25,295  (+     39)
  • As of Aug     31 - 25,328  (+     33)
  • As of Sep        7 - 25,361  (+     33)
  • As of Sep      14 - 25,394  (+     33)
  • As of Sep      21 - 25,428  (+     34)
  • As of Sep      28 - 25,468  (+     40)
  • As of Oct        5-  25,527  (+     59)
  • As of Oct      12 - 25,587  (+     60)
  • As of Oct      19 - 25,659  (+     72) 
  • As of Oct      26 - 25,742  (+     83) 
  • As of Nov       2 - 25,838  (+     96)
  • As of Nov       9 - 25,973  (+   135)
  • As of Nov     16 - 26,159  (+   186)
  • As of Nov     23-  26,390  (+   231)
  • As of Nov     30 - 26,747  (+   357)
  • As of Dec        7 - 27,307  (+   560)
  • As of Dec      14 - 27,870  (+   563)
  • As of Dec      21 - 28,709  (+   839)
  • As of Dec      28 - 29,629  (+   920)
  • As of Jan         4 - 30,648  (+1,019)
  • As of Jan       11 - 31,841  (+1,193)
  • As of Jan       18 - 33,052  (+1,211)
  • As of Jan       25 - 34,242  (+1,190)
  • As of Feb        1 - 35,319  (+1,067)
  • As of Feb        8 - 36,339  (+1,220)
  • As of Feb      15 - 37,221  (+   842)

Related posts:
Alabama.  (2/15/2021)
Arizona.  (2/15/2021)
Arkansas.  (2/4/2021)
California.  (2/7/2021)
Connecticut.  (8/21/2020)
Florida.  (2/15/2021)
Georgia.  (2/15/2021)
Idaho.  (2/7/2021)
Illinois.  (2/2/2021)
Indiana.  (2/6/2021)
Iowa.  (2/6/2021)
Kansas.  (2/4/2021)
Kentucky.  (2/4/2021)
Louisiana.  (2/6/2021)
Maryland.  (1/27/2021)
Massachusetts.  (2/2/2021)
Michigan.  (2/2/2021)
Minnesota.  (2/4/2021)
Mississippi.  (2/15/2021)
Montana. (2/5/2021)
Nebraska.  (2/4/2021)
Nevada.  (2/3/2021)
New Jersey,  (2/2/2021)
New York.  (4/1/2021)
North Carolina.  (2/7/2021)
North Dakota.  (2/7/2021)
Ohio.  (2/6/2021)
Pennsylvania.  (2/2/2021)
South Carolina.  (2/5/2021)
South Dakota.  (2/4/2021)
Tennessee.  (2/5/2021)
Texas   (2/6/2021)
Utah.  (2/3/2021)
Virginia.  (1/22/2021)
Washington State.  (6/12/2020)
West Virginia.  (2/3/2021)







































The New York Times
























New York Times website screenshot (7:39 p.m. on 3/27/2020)


New York Times website screenshot (5:15 p.m. on 3/26/2020)

Related reading:
3 Deaths in a Day: An ‘Apocalyptic’ Coronavirus Surge at an N.Y.C. Hospital.  (The New York Times, 3/25/2020)

Elmhurst, a 545-bed public hospital in Queens, has begun transferring patients not suffering from coronavirus to other hospitals as it moves toward becoming dedicated entirely to the outbreak. Doctors and nurses have struggled to make do with a few dozen ventilators. Calls over a loudspeaker of “Team 700,” the code for when a patient is on the verge of death, come several times a shift. Some have died inside the emergency room while waiting for a bed. 
A refrigerated truck has been stationed outside to hold the bodies of the dead.
A White House official is troubled by the rate of infection in New York.  (The New York Times,
Dr. Birx added that 28 percent of tests for coronavirus in the region were coming up positive, while the rate is less than 8 percent in the rest of the country. 
“To all of my friends and colleagues in New York, this is the group that needs to absolutely social distance and self-isolate at this time,” Dr. Birx said. “Clearly, the virus had been circulating there for a number of weeks to have this level of penetrance into the general community.” In epidemiology, the attack rate is the percentage of a population that has a disease. New York State now has an attack rate similar to that of Italy. 

Trump expressed outrage at having to ‘close the country’ to slow the virus.  (The New York Times,
Even as nations from Britain to India declare nationwide economic lockdowns, President Trump said he “would love to have the country opened up, and just raring to go, by Easter,” less than three weeks away, a goal that top health professionals have called far too quick. 
“I think it’s possible, why not?” he said with a shrug. 
Participating in a town hall hosted by Fox News on Tuesday, he expressed outrage about having to “close the country” to curb the spread of the coronavirus and indicated that his guidelines on business shutdowns and social distancing would soon be lifted. 


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