Been there, done that: Just like in 2022, Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly trolls the media with GOP wet dream fantasy polls (Michigan edition)

Headline:  Newsweek, 10/2/2024

Reality and fantasy sources: New York Times, Slate

Republican U.S. Senate candidate Mike Rogers received a boost in the hotly contested Michigan race—narrowing the gap in a battle where multiple polls had shown him trailing—according to a survey from a pollster deemed the "the most accurate" by RealClearPolitics. 

A new poll from The Trafalgar Group, known for predicting former President Donald Trump's 2016 victory over Hillary Clinton, shows Rogers essentially tying up the race. But Trafalgar, led by conservative pollster Robert Cahaly, also predicted a "red wave" in the 2022 midterms, which never materialized.

The primary purpose of this poll was troll the media and generate headlines such as these.

It worked!  And to the news media's shame, it's working again.

 

Headline links found here

In 2022, Robert Cahaly was America's most inaccurate pollster.

Live by the polls, die by the polls

September 2024

Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly releases another GOP wet dream fantasy poll.  (9/30)

Does Trafalgar chief pollster Robert A. Cahaly realize he's talking about himself? (9/27)

Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly releases another GOP wet dream fantasy poll.  It's his specialty.  (9/15)

Apparently, Jonathan Draeger moonlights as Robert Cahalys publicist.  (9/10)

Dear Newsweek: Please place an election season embargo on Trafalgar polls.  They are nothing more than a GOP wet dream.  Just like 2022.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (9/1)

Dear Eric Mack:  Remember the so-called 2022 Red Wave?  Trafalgar polls are nothing but a GOP wet dream.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (9/1) 

June-August 2024

Remember 2022?  Well, here they go again!  (8/30)

Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly:  Just what you'd expect from a "pollster" who promoted a nonexistent "Red Wave" in 2022

Dear Sean Hannity:  Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly deals in GOP wet-dream fantasies.  If he sez Trump is up 2 in Georgia, he's actually down 5.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (8/2/2024)

Are the pollsters and political reporters making the same rush to judgment they did in 2022?  (6/10)

December 2023

Best to take any poll from Trafalgar with a grain of salt.  (12/6)

November 2023

America's most pilloried pollster thinks Republican's bad night in Virginia won't tarnish Glenn Youngkin.  (11/8)

October 2023

The only trend here is Robert Cahaly being WRONG WRONG WRONG like he was in 2022.  (10/29)

February 2023

Trafalgar leaves deep and lasting stain on polling profession with off-the-charts dreadful performance in 2022 midterms.  (2/13)

 

January 2023

RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (RNC chair election edition).  (1/27)

RULE #1:  Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (Border security edition).  (1/27)

RULE #1:  Never take a Trafalgar poll at face value (RNC edition).  (1/26)

Day 61 of Robert C. Cahaly's self-imposed exile.  (1/7)

FiveThirtyEight reports Trafalgar poll with a straight face.  (1/6)

December 2022

In a year when conservative pollsters tried to drive the election narrative, Politico sez "HOORAY " for polls.  (12/31)
Rule #1: Never cite a Trafalgar poll to bolster your argument.  (12/24)

November 2022

And then there were those Trafalgar fantasy polls.  (11/21)

Since Election Day, we have been listening to 'The Sounds of Silence" by Robert C. Cahaly.  (11/16)

Looking forward to Trafalgar's first fantasy poll of the 2024 GOP presidential campaign shit show.  (11/16)

Governor's race in Arizona.  (11/16)

Governor's race in Colorado.  (11/16)

Governor's race in New York.  (11/15)

Governor's rate in Michigan.  (11/11)

Governor's race in Minnesota.  (11/16)

Governor's race in Minnesota.  (11/16)

Governor's race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14)

Governor's race in Wisconsin.  (11/14)

Senate race in Arizona.  (11/15)

Senate race in Colorado.  (11/14)

Senate race in Nevada.  (11/14)

Senate race in New Hampshire.  (11/14)

Senate race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14)

Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11)

Senate race in Washington.  (11/11)