Friday, September 6, 2019

Which way you goin' in 2020, Washington County, Minnesota?

The 10 counties that will decide the 2020 election. (The Hill, 9/4/2019)

First of all, Tim Pawlenty is disconnected from reality.

Photo credit:  Twitter

About those suburban voters.

The GOP forfeited the House in 2018, largely after losing suburban women voters, a key voting bloc that turns out at the polls but with whom Trump has proved particularly unpopular since becoming president.
"Increasing support from suburban women?"  That's a nonstarter, Tim.

Fast-growing Washington County, located just east of Ramsey and Hennepin counties, is part of the Twin Cities metro area.

Source:  Wikipedia (orange highlight added)

Percentage of population 25 and older with a bachelor's degree:
  • 42.3% - Washington County
  • 34.8% - Minnesota
  • 30.9% - U.S.
Percentage of population 65 and older:
  • 15.0% - Washington County
  • 15.9% - Minnesota
  • 15.6% - U.S.
% of population living in poverty:
  •   4.2% - Washington County
  •   9.5% - Minnesota
  • 11.6% - U.S.

Not Trump's America.

Presidential elections are generally close contests here, and GOP voters, it appears, are discriminating.  Trump received 4,703 fewer voter than Romney in 2012, a drop of nearly 4 percentage points.  Clinton also underperformed but still beat Trump by 2,558 votes.  

Source:  Wikipedia 
3rd-party candidates received 27% of vote in 1992, 13.3% of vote in 1996, 8.8% in 2016
(George Wallace received 5.5% of the vote in 1968.)

Retiring Guy's prediction:  The backlash continues in Washington County.

Other "Which way you goin'" posts:
Sauk County, Wisconsin.  (9/5/2019)

No comments: