Wednesday, November 8, 2023

When polling goes awry: Emerson College predicts a photo finish, Andy Beshear wins by 5 lengths

 
Or percentage points, if you will.

HeadlineEmerson Polling
Election resultsNew York Times

Emerson Polling had the candidates knotted at 47%.   Nearly on the mark for Cameron but a big miss in Beshear's case.

Perhaps we should all take this recent Emerson presidential poll (October 16-17) with a grain of salt.


Related 2023 election posts:
Promoting reductive rights, Democratic Governor Andy Beshear easily won a second term in deep-red Kentucky.  Clearly, abortion remains a powerful and motivating issue in Kentucky.

Youngkin proposed a 'common-sense compromise' to ban abortions after 15 weeks.  Voters didn't buy it. Clearly, abortion remains a powerful and motivating issue in Virginia.

Even though Republicans tried to trick voters, the margin of victory to establish a constitutional right to abortion remained the same.  Clearly, abortion remains a powerful and motivating issue in Ohio.

From the "it remains to be seen" school of journalism, as practiced here by two New York Times reporters.

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