Friday, April 6, 2018

Take that long-range forecast of snow with a grain of salt


Today's forecast from Thursday, March 29


A view through the picture window at 3:30 this afternoon
No rain.  No snow.  Windier.

A view from the back yard at 8:00 this evening.
1 to 3 inchdes of snow?  Fuggedaboutit!

The current forecast

Related reading:
Why Meteorologists Overpredict Snowfall Amounts - Major Storm Potential Next Week?  (Star 
Tribune, 11/29/2016)

If it happens at all.  That's why it pays to take all the snowfall predictions on TV, radio, internet and your favorite app, and divide by 2. That will be closer to the mark. 
One other timeless truth: if I predict 3-6 inches, chances are you'll only hear 6 inches.

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