GET ME REWRITE: Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly and his ilk party like it's 2022 with GOP wet dream fantasy polls

 Headline:  The New Republic, 10/23/2024

Fantasy polls: Slate

Some of the pollsters that got those races wrong are the same ones pumping out polls right now on the presidential race. One notable example is Trafalgar, which released polls in 2022 that showed five Republican Senate candidates either ahead or much closer than they ended up finishing. The most notable of these was in Washington state, where a Trafalgar poll in late October showed Democratic incumbent Patty Murray up by just 1.7 points over GOP challenger Tiffany Smiley. That poll generated a raft of “Is Patty Murray in trouble?” stories, the idea being that if even Murray was sinking in very blue Washington, then maybe a huge red wave really was gathering force. (Murray won by 15 points.) [emphasis added]

We’re seeing a similar bombardment in the presidential race this time around. So what is it doing to the averages?

 

Live by the polls, die by the polls

October 2024

If recent history is any indicator, Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly is an unqualified failure.  (10/21)

How accurate or off-the-mark is the New York Times slavish reporting of the polls.  (10/19)

Liberal data analyst snookered by Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly's GOP wet dream fantasy polls.  (10/19)

Malpractice in journalism:  Taking Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly's GOP wet dream fantasy polls seriously. (10/16)

More malpractice in journalism at Newsweek.  (10/15)

Malpractice in journalism at Newsweek.  (10/9)

No need to panic, folks; it’s just Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly making up another batch of GOP wet dream fantasy polls. (10/5)

Been there, done that: Just like in 2022, Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly trolls the media with GOP wet dream fantasy polls (Wisconsin presidential edition)er  (10/4)

It's full steam ahead for Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly's GOP wet dream fantasy polls.  (10/3)

Been there, done that: Just like in 2022, Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly trolls the media with GOP wet dream fantasy polls (Michigan presidential edition)

Been there, done that: Just like in 2022, Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly trolls the media with GOP wet dream fantasy polls (Michigan US Senate edition)

September 2024

Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly releases another GOP wet dream fantasy poll.  (9/30)

Does Trafalgar chief pollster Robert A. Cahaly realize he's talking about himself? (9/27)

Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly releases another GOP wet dream fantasy poll.  It's his specialty.  (9/15)

Apparently, Jonathan Draeger moonlights as Robert Cahalys publicist.  (9/10)

Dear Newsweek: Please place an election season embargo on Trafalgar polls.  They are nothing more than a GOP wet dream.  Just like 2022.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (9/1)

Dear Eric Mack:  Remember the so-called 2022 Red Wave?  Trafalgar polls are nothing but a GOP wet dream.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (9/1) 

June-August 2024

Remember 2022?  Well, here they go again!  (8/30)

Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly:  Just what you'd expect from a "pollster" who promoted a nonexistent "Red Wave" in 2022

Dear Sean Hannity:  Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly deals in GOP wet-dream fantasies.  If he sez Trump is up 2 in Georgia, he's actually down 5.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (8/2/2024)

Are the pollsters and political reporters making the same rush to judgment they did in 2022?  (6/10)

December 2023

Best to take any poll from Trafalgar with a grain of salt.  (12/6)

November 2023

America's most pilloried pollster thinks Republican's bad night in Virginia won't tarnish Glenn Youngkin.  (11/8)

October 2023

The only trend here is Robert Cahaly being WRONG WRONG WRONG like he was in 2022.  (10/29)

February 2023

Trafalgar leaves deep and lasting stain on polling profession with off-the-charts dreadful performance in 2022 midterms.  (2/13)

 

January 2023

RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (RNC chair election edition).  (1/27)

RULE #1:  Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (Border security edition).  (1/27)

RULE #1:  Never take a Trafalgar poll at face value (RNC edition).  (1/26)

Day 61 of Robert C. Cahaly's self-imposed exile.  (1/7)

FiveThirtyEight reports Trafalgar poll with a straight face.  (1/6)

December 2022

In a year when conservative pollsters tried to drive the election narrative, Politico sez "HOORAY " for polls.  (12/31)
Rule #1: Never cite a Trafalgar poll to bolster your argument.  (12/24)

November 2022

And then there were those Trafalgar fantasy polls.  (11/21)

Since Election Day, we have been listening to 'The Sounds of Silence" by Robert C. Cahaly.  (11/16)

Looking forward to Trafalgar's first fantasy poll of the 2024 GOP presidential campaign shit show.  (11/16)

Governor's race in Arizona.  (11/16)

Governor's race in Colorado.  (11/16)

Governor's race in New York.  (11/15)

Governor's rate in Michigan.  (11/11)

Governor's race in Minnesota.  (11/16)

Governor's race in Minnesota.  (11/16)

Governor's race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14)

Governor's race in Wisconsin.  (11/14)

Senate race in Arizona.  (11/15)

Senate race in Colorado.  (11/14)

Senate race in Nevada.  (11/14)

Senate race in New Hampshire.  (11/14)

Senate race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14)

Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11)

Senate race in Washington.  (11/11)