Reuters/Ipsos. 20 percentage-point gap in Biden approval/disapproval.
Economist/YouGov. 5 percentage point gap in Biden approval/disapproval.
Go figure.
Real Clear Politics (red boxes added)
Wednesday, November 23, 2022
Feast on this pre-Thanksgiving 2024 GOP presidential nomination poll before you chow down on turkey
Just a 15 percentage-point difference between Trump and DeSantis today.
Source: Real Clear Politics
Related posts:
Trump remains a winner, according to Australia's United States Studies Centre. (11/22/2022)
Trump still has a hammerlock on the Republican voters. (11/19/2022)
GOP horse race to the presidential nomination: Just 620-some days left until the Republican National Convention. (11/17/2022)
John Wester (1932-2022) Warren High School class of 1950
1950 Dragon yearbook
Source: Peterson Blick Funeral Home
1967 Warren City Directory
- Wester Enar A (Bertha E) lab technician Wester Laboratory h213 Madison Avenue
1983 Warren City Directory
- Wester Bertha E retired h213 Madison Avenue
- Wester John & Frances 77 Terrace Haven Drive Clarendon
The popularity of John as a baby name is graphed here. Let's take a look at classmate Mickey.
Mickey spent a mediocre 40 years on the baby names chart, peaking at #545 in 1948.
Other members of the WHS class of 1950 (28):
2022
Anitz Dickerson Johnson. (11/20)
Josephine Gerardi Schmader. (8/30)
Jeanne Sadler Masterson. (7/21/)
John McGarry. (5/21)
Annette Swanson King-Roth. (2/27)
Jane Eleanor Toner Long. (2/26)
2021
Barbara Ann Pierce Clark. (10/14)
Catherine Babcock Dangelo. (9/12)
Carol Ann Pasco Pangborn. (9/10)
Robert Venon Johnson. (1/11)
Alice Swanson Albaugh. (1/1)
2020
2019
Donald Cable. (8/27)
Clifford LeRoy Maze. (7/9)
Robert Lundmark. (7/1)
Donald Baldensperger. (1/26)
2018
John White. (10/12)
Geraldine Downey Gustafson. (10/7)
2017
Helen Quiggle Kroemer. (7/9)
Dale Witherell. (5/31)
Betty Reynolds Mahan. (4/4)
Helen Kane Scalise. (2/23)
2016
William Lemmon. (8/30)
Joan Kondak Vernon. (8/3)
Barbara Reist Cook. (7/7)
Mary Sikstrom Bauer. (6/20)
Robert Jones. (6/4)
2015
Lewis McCullough. (7/6)
Joan Marlene Campbell Berdine. (2/18)
2014
Glen Valentine. (8/18)
GET ME REWRITE: Great Britain's newest prime minister Rishi Sunak engages in hilarious wishful thinking
Headline: New York Times, 11/22/2022
The cause of the remorse is clear: Britain’s economic crisis, which is the gravest in a generation and worse than those of its European neighbors. Not all — or even most — of the problems are because of Brexit, but Britain’s vexed trade relationship with the rest of Europe indisputably plays a role.
[snip]
“I voted for Brexit, I believe in Brexit,” Mr. Sunak added. “I know that Brexit can deliver, and is already delivering, enormous benefits and opportunities for the country.”
Can a Democrat win in Wisconsin's GOP gerrymandered 8th Senate District?
The district includes the liberal North Shore suburbs in Milwaukee County, increasingly purple areas in Ozaukee and Waukesha counties, and a big slab of red meat in ultra-conservative Washington County.
Darling won by 8.5 percentage points in 2020, with a comfortable 10,000+ vote margin.
Best scenario for Democrats: ultra-conservative election denier from Washington County wins the GOP primary.
Map: Ballotpedia
Announcement: @SenDarling
Based on this language in the state statutes, it's likely that Governor Evers will call a special election that coincides with the spring elections.
Wisconsin State Legislature (orange box added)
GET ME REWRITE: Federalist Society's warped view of same-sex marriage as presented in a headline, subhead and lede
Federalist Society, 11/22/2022 (highlight added)
In other words, Jordan Boyd laments the fact that some Americans can't discriminate based on their warped, perverted practice of Christianity.
Wisconsin Library Association champion and GOP Secretary of State candidate Amy Loudenbeck, who never talked about protecting voting rights, concedes race
Thank you voters for seeing the strings on this Robin Vos puppet.
Dictionary definition: Merriam-Webster
Headline and election results: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
That's because Speaker Vos hadn't yet told her what those changes would be.
During her campaign, Loudenbeck didn't specify what changes she would make to the office, saying those issues should be determined by the Legislature, but she supported consolidating oversight duties in the secretary of state's office. She also contended that election laws were not uniformly enforced during the 2020 election. [emphasis added]
Related reading:
American Progress, 11/22/2022
Many of the most restrictive voting efforts were halted by governors who vetoed restrictive legislation and pushed back against the tide of attacks on voting rights in states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. If not for the veto power of governors in these battleground states, the restrictions on voting—and the subsequent weakening of the democratic process—would have been more severe and widespread.
Original 10/23/2022 post, "Wisconsin Library Association champion and GOP Secretary of State candidate Amy Loudenbeck mum on protecting the rights of voters", starts here.
Headline: Wisconsin State Journal, 9/2/2022
As John Torinus describes it, Wisconsin GOP election denier Kool-Aid Queen Janel Brandtjen went ballistic over three grains of sand in the desert
Headline: Ozaukee Press, 11/22/2022
As with 2020, the election Tuesday was well-organized, well executed and accurate by any statistical measure.
There was one goofy incident where a Milwaukee elections worker sent three illegal military ballots to Rep. Janel Brandtjen of Menomonie Falls, who is chair of an elections committee in the Legislature. She made a big stink of the ballots sent as a protest against Brandtjen’s conspiracy theories. Unwarranted major headlines ensued.
But here’s the deal: The three ballots were never filed, and they are only three stinkin’ ballots. Three! They are grains in the sands in a desert, totally immaterial to the quality of elections in Wisconsin.
Related posts:
Wisconsin GOP election denier Kool-Aid Queen Janel Brandtjen is even too toxic for her own party's caucus. (11/16/2022)
GOP judge quickly slaps down Wisconsin election denier queen's lawsuit to block military votes. (11/8/2022)
Aftermath: Day 3 of shuttered Robin Vos-Michael Gableman 2020 election review clown show circus. (series)
Election denier Janel Brandtjen freaks out over lessons about elections in the classroom. (10/3/2022)
Wisconsin's Janel Brandtjen keeps pushing her Looney Tunes 2020 election conspiracies. (9/21/2022)
Tuesday, November 22, 2022
GET ME REWRITE: In the GOP gas price blame game, what comes around, goes around
Headline: Wisconsin State Journal, 11/22/2022
The average price dropped 24 cents to $3.32 a gallon, down from $3.56 a week ago, according to AAA. A month ago, the average price was $3.64 a gallon.
In Madison, the average price Tuesday was $3.40 a gallon, down 22 cents from a week ago.
But there were several reports of gas for $3.19 a gallon on Gas Buddy, a price-tracking website, including Kwik Trip stores on Schroeder Road and Mineral Point Road and the Woodman’s on Gammon Road and Milwaukee Street.
Related series of posts:
In the GOP gas price blame game, what comes around, goes around. (7/18/2022)
Patricia Johnson Steber (1946-2022) Warren Area High School class of 1964
1964 Dragon yearbook
1967 Warren City Directory
- Johnson Charles A (Betty G) machinist Sylvania h116 North South Street
1983 Warren City Directory
- Johnson Charles A & Betty G retired h135 North South Street
- Steber Duane O & Patricia J; machine operator GTE Sylvania h219 Canton Street
The popularity of Patricia as a baby name is graphed here. Let's take a look at
Nathan has been an impressively steady and increasingly improving performer through the years since 1900. After descending to a "low point" in 1947 (#273), he ascended into the top 100, where he's now in his 50th year. He peaked at #20 in 2004 and 2005.
Other members of the class of 1964 (27):
2022
2022
Kathleen Mahaffey. (10/5)
Kathy Van Pelt Wilcox (1/31)
2021
Earl Huber. (10/26)
Gary Johnson. (9/4)
Richard Chapel. (6/21)
Linda Repine. (3/14)
2020
Thomas Mintzer. (6/14)
Ernest Hoag, Jr. (1/11)
Thomas Mintzer. (6/14)
Ernest Hoag, Jr. (1/11)
2019
David Rydholm. (8/7)
Jacqueline King Jeffords. (6/11)
Eugene Smith. (2/5)
2018
Jean Tickner. (12/10)
Vincent Pace. (6/6/)
Robert Arnold. (5/8)
Burt Alexander. (4/3)
John Lindberg. (3/27)
2017
James DeLong. (11/6)
Ruth Johnson Jackson. (10/14)
Gordon Eric Cedarquist. (8/19)
John David Pirillo. (8/10)
2016
Dwight Drum, (8/1)
2015
David Holmberg. (8/3)
Susen Johnson Gebhardt. (6/2)
Delores Brady Geer. (1/25)
Judith McCool Madigan. (1/26)
2014
Julia Barhight Verdot. (9/5)
Charles Lyon. (1/12)
2024 GOP presidential nomination: Trump remains a winner, according to Australia's United States Studies Centre
According to Wikipedia
The United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney aims to increase understanding of the United States in Australia and enrich the Australia–United States relationship. The centre teaches undergraduate and postgraduate students, conducts policy-focused research, and hosts public events on a range of issues.
Polls: Real Clear Politics
Headline: United States Policy Centre, 11/18/2022
But ultimately, no amount of introspection or intervention from Republican leaders can stop Trump from becoming the party’s 2024 presidential nominee. The only serious group with the power to prevent his nomination are Republican primary voters. And among this group, Trump remains a winner.
In polling conducted by the United States Studies Centre before the midterm elections in 2022, 77 per cent of 2020 Trump voters said a second presidential term for him would be good for America; 54 per cent said it would be “very good” for the country. For context, only 62 per cent of Biden voters said it would be a positive thing for him to be re-elected, and only 26 per cent said it would be “very good”.
Early in the process, primary voters in places such as Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada largely determine the field of candidates running. Here, Trump as a presidential candidate, maintains broad appeal.Maybe not so much anymore in Iowa, Patricia.
Related post:
Trump still has a hammerlock on the Republican voters. (11/19/2022)
GOP horse race to the presidential nomination: Just 620-some days left until the Republican National Convention. (11/17/2022)
GET ME REWRITE: Upset white parents in rural Iowa school district want to scrub lessons with LBGTQ, 'critical race theory'
Demographics: U.S. Census QuickFacts, U.S. News and World Report
Headline: Des Moines Register, 11/20/2022
This largely white Iowa town where baseball legend Bob Feller learned his fastball has become the latest battlefront in America's culture war over race and sexual identity.
Armed with a new Iowa law aimed at giving families more control over what their children are learning in public schools, more than 130 townspeople have signed a petition seeking to have the Van Meter Community School District remove lesson plans they say promote a liberal political agenda.
Their "Back to Basics: Preserving The Integrity of Van Meter Schools" petition accuses teachers and administrators of using a social-emotional learning curriculum laced with "gender ideology" and "divisive critical race ideology." And it calls for their children to receive a "nonpolitical" education devoid of sexual and sexually graphic content.Cobbled together with no thought given to teacher recruitment.
Brookings arrives late to the Shamokin Pennsylvania transformation party
The population of Shamokin has decreased 67% since its peak 100 years ago.
Population: Wikipedia
Headline: Brookings, 11/22/2022
It's an oft-told story in the declining coal and oil time of Pennsylvania.
Shamokin, Pennsylvania is a former coal town on its way to becoming an outdoor recreation destination after decades of decline. In this episode of Reimagine Rural, Tony Pipa returns to his roots to learn how an abandoned mine remediation project is helping spur community renewal. He speaks with local leaders and residents who are bringing their vision to life with the support of key public resources.
Warren County PA, where Retiring Guy grew up, has engaged in this same discussion for years.
(highlight added)
Iconic view of Warren from Washington Park.
.jpg)
Photos by Retiring Guy
The bend of the Allegheny River as seen from the Hickory Street Bridge in Warren.
Trump now leads a GOP party of proven losers
Top headline: CNN, 10/26/2022
(Thank you for your service on the part of Democrats, Donald Trump!)
Bottom headline: New York Times, 11/8/2022
From the New York Times
Voters in a series of critical battleground states rejected Republican candidates for governor, attorney general and secretary of state who have spread doubts about the 2020 election, blocking an effort to install allies of former President Donald J. Trump in positions with sweeping authority over voting. [emphasis added]
In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, Democrats prevailed on Tuesday against Republican opponents who, to varying degrees, had campaigned on overhauling elections in ways that would benefit their party and called into question their commitment to democratic outcomes.
Day 7 of the GOP 2024 Shit Show: Paul Ryan to GOP, Donald Trump is a loser
Headline: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 11/20/2022
Ryan, a Republican who represented Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District for 20 years, was speaker of the House from 2015 to 2019. He told correspondent Jonathan Karl on ABC's "This Week with George Stephanopoulos" in the wake of Trump's announced run that Republicans would lose if they backed Trump for president in 2024.
“We get past Trump, we start winning elections. We stick with Trump, we keep losing elections. That’s just how I see it," Ryan said.
11/21/2022 update, "Meet the Hefties", starts here.
Headline: AlterNet, 11/20/2022
The report says that the "speeches in Western Pennsylvania were far more than just stump rallies for key candidates." They're beginning their efforts to run for president, years ahead of time. And how successful they are at getting people elected could determine their status in the state and the Republican Party.11/19/2022 update, "New York Post dumps Trump's campaign announcement into the trash", starts here.
Top headline: New York Times, 11/18/2022
New York Post front page, 11/16/2022
11/18/2022 update starts here
Headline: Wisconsin Examiner, 11/17/2022
11/17/2022 update starts here
Top headline: Washington Post, 11/15/2022 (highlight added)
Bottom headline: Axios, 11/16/2022
Original 11/16/2022 post starts here
Monday, November 21, 2022
H. Robert Hampson (1933-2022) Warren High School class of 1951
1967 Warren City Directory
- Hampson H Robert (Janet D; Hampson & Hampson) r271 Follett Run Road
- Hampson Harold (Hampson & Hampson) h424 Conewango Avenue
1983 Warren City Directory,
- Hampson H Robert & Janet D; lawyer h116 East Fifth Avenue
The popularity of Robert as a baby name is graphed here. Let's take a look at granddaughter Callie.
.
Social Security Administration
Callie spent the first 4 decades of the 20th century in a slow decline, then hit some major turbulence, which bounced her off and on the chart from the late 1950s to the early 1970s. Starting in 1973, she embarked on what became an arduous trek up the ladder and in 2020 achieved her highest-ever position at #165.
Other members of the WHS class of 1951 (36):
2022
Patricia Miller Van Cise. (11/18)
Patricia Miller Van Cise. (11/18)
Dennis Bonace. (6/15)
2021
Dora Pace Cicchini. (12/19)
Robert Hampson. (11/24)
Barbara Gray Lauffer. (5/18)
Dorothy Cook Hanson. (5/5)
Alice Hollabaugh Lindell. (3/23)
Dorothy Anderson Barstow. (3/2)
Doris Whipple Cunningham. (1/29)
2020
Doris Mason Sadler. (8/21)
Doris Mason Sadler. (8/21)
Sarah Irving Crecraft. (8/10)
Mary Cotillion Young Shaffer. (6/9)
Richard Campbell. (5/14)
Patricia Hamm Suppa. (4/27)
2019
John Steele Sr. (9/9)
Josephine Gregerson Baker. (6/1)
Tilda Hildum Hulteburg. (2/7)
George Gern (2/6)
2017
Patricia Elaine Black Williams. (10/12)
Marilyn Albaugh Frycklund. (9/23)
Carol Amacher. (5/30)
John Wood. (5/28)
Catherine Collins Sheldon. (4/22)
Ronald McCain. (4/13)
Elaine Crecraft McDunn. (3/1)
Albert Kondak. (2/28)
Richard Cook. (2/16)
Marilyn Pasquino Nyberg. (1/19)
2016
Mark Bevevino. (8/26)
Diedra Peterson Andersen. (6/8)
Mary Cotillion Young Shaffer. (6/9)
Richard Campbell. (5/14)
Patricia Hamm Suppa. (4/27)
2019
John Steele Sr. (9/9)
Josephine Gregerson Baker. (6/1)
Tilda Hildum Hulteburg. (2/7)
George Gern (2/6)
2017
Patricia Elaine Black Williams. (10/12)
Marilyn Albaugh Frycklund. (9/23)
Carol Amacher. (5/30)
John Wood. (5/28)
Catherine Collins Sheldon. (4/22)
Ronald McCain. (4/13)
Elaine Crecraft McDunn. (3/1)
Albert Kondak. (2/28)
Richard Cook. (2/16)
Marilyn Pasquino Nyberg. (1/19)
2016
Mark Bevevino. (8/26)
Diedra Peterson Andersen. (6/8)
Marilyn Lyke Bonace. (6/6)
John Tingwell. (6/5)
2015
Donald Quiggle. (12/19)
Genevieve Larson McKown. (12/16)
Franklin Reiff. (7/14)
Mary Ann Font Schafer. (6/29)John Tingwell. (6/5)
2015
Donald Quiggle. (12/19)
Genevieve Larson McKown. (12/16)
Franklin Reiff. (7/14)
Independent voters in Brown County Wisconsin narrow the gap in 2022 midterms
Election results: Politico, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
Green Bay Press Gazette, 11/17/2022
Republican slippage has been the worst in Brown County, where Walker had double Michels' margin with an 8-point victory over Evers in 2018. In 2014, Walker defeated Burke in Brown County by a whopping 17 points, with 58% of the vote.
Related posts:
Multimillionaire Wisconsin GOP candidate for governor Tim Michels received 72% of the vote in Taylor County. (11/20/2022)Having gone all in for Trump, Adams County Wisconsin voters can't be bothered with school referendums. (11/19/2020)
Dane County: bigger and bluer. (11/19/2022)
When it comes to failing to swing independent voters, Winnebago County Wisconsin is Exhibit A. (11/18/2022)
Case of the Quadrennial Voter (Ozaukee County Wisconsin 2022 edition) (11/18/2022)
Case of the Quadrennial Voter (Ozaukee County Wisconsin 2022 edition) (11/18/2022)
Wisconsin 2022 edition. (11/18/2022)
The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats . (2018 edition)
Dear Michigan GOP election deniers, Elections have consequences. Best, Retiring Guy
Top headline: Wall Street Journal, 11/9/2022
Bottom headline: Michigan Advance, 11/20/21022
Attention has mostly been focused on the defeats of election deniers at the top of the ballot, both in Michigan and nationwide. Republican Tudor Dixon lost to Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Republican Kristina Karamo was defeated by Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and Republican Matt DePerno was beaten by Attorney General Dana Nessel.
Democrats also wrested control of both chambers of the Michigan Legislature for the first time in almost 40 years. However, the next class of lawmakers will still include a bevy of election deniers.
And then there were those Trafalgar fantasy polls
Poll numbers: @Trafalgar_Group
Screenshot: Financial Review, 10/21/2022
Mr Cahaly, whose outfit identified a “silent majority” support base for Mr Trump in 2016, said this new group could be hiding a margin of between 1.5 per cent and 5 per cent for the Republicans at the election, which determines which party runs Congress.
Mr Cahaly’s theory is that more conservative voters suspect government and activist agencies are targeting them using polling database information, and therefore shy away from voicing their voting intentions to pollsters.
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 11/21/2022
Like every election, the 2022 midterm taught us some things about the political landscape.
It taught us that the polls can still be pretty good.
And don't forget this doozy....
....one that pollsters and pundits had completely dismissed as Election Day approached, having entered the 'red wave' echo chamber.
Related posts:
Since Election Day, we have been listening to 'The Sounds of Silence" by Robert C. Cahaly. (11/16/2022)Looking forward to Trafalgar's first fantasy poll of the 2024 GOP presidential campaign shit show. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in Arizona. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in Colorado. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in New York. (11/15/2022)
Governor's rate in Michigan. (11/11/2022)
Governor's race in Minnesota. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in Minnesota. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in Pennsylvania. (11/14/2022)
Governor's race in Wisconsin. (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Arizona. (11/15/21022)
Senate race in Colorado. (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Nevada. (11/15/2022)
Senate race in New Hampshire. (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Pennsylvania. (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Vermont. (11/11/2022)
Senate race in Washington. (11/11/2022)
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