David, I realize your focus here is on presidential elections, but that doesn't excuse overlooking the 2022 midterms polling debacle, when Robert Cahaly snookered hundreds of reporters into covering a non-existent 'Red Wave". It was an outbreak of journalistic malpractice.
Headline: New York Times, 9/17/2024
Fanatasy polls @trafalgar_group
New York Times, 10/25/2022 (two weeks before the election)
Some have speculated that voters, who polls show are generally unhappy about the direction of the nation, have no one to blame but Democrats in those states. Others have hypothesized that abortion — the issue that Democrats have used to mobilize the party base and win over moderate women — is less salient in states that have enacted their own abortion protections.
“In a blue state, where you hear no stories of anyone getting prohibited from getting an abortion, it just doesn't play,” Mr. Frias [Republican national committeeman in Rhode Island] said.
I hope that Mr. Frias was served up a well-desrved plate of crow.
Live by the polls, die by the polls
2024
Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly releases another GOP wet dream fantasy poll. It's his specialty.. (9/16)
Dear Newsweek: Please place an election season embargo on Trafalgar polls. They are nothing more than a GOP wet dream. Just like 2022. Best, Retiring Guy. (9/1)
Dear Eric Mack: Remember the so-called 2022 Red Wave? Trafalgar polls are nothing but a GOP wet dream. Best, Retiring Guy. (9/1)
Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly: Just what you'd expect from a "pollster" who promoted a nonexistent "Red Wave" in 2022
Dear Sean Hannity: Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly deals in GOP wet-dream fantasies. If he sez Trump is up 2 in Georgia, he's actually down 5. Best, Retiring Guy. (8/2/2024)
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
February 2023
January 2023
RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (RNC chair election edition). (1/27/2023)RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face value (RNC edition). (1/26/2023)
Day 61 of Robert C. Cahaly's self-imposed exile. (1/7/2023)
FiveThirtyEight reports Trafalgar poll with a straight face. (1/6/2023)December 2022
In a year when conservative pollsters tried to drive the election narrative, Politico sez "HOORAY " for polls. (12/31/2022)
Rule #1: Never cite a Trafalgar poll to bolster your argument. (12/24/2022)
Rule #1: Never cite a Trafalgar poll to bolster your argument. (12/24/2022)
November 2022
And then there were those Trafalgar fantasy polls. (11/21/2022)Since Election Day, we have been listening to 'The Sounds of Silence" by Robert C. Cahaly. (11/16/2022)
Looking forward to Trafalgar's first fantasy poll of the 2024 GOP presidential campaign shit show. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in Arizona. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in Colorado. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in New York. (11/15/2022)
Governor's rate in Michigan. (11/11/2022)
Governor's race in Minnesota. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in Minnesota. (11/16/2022)
Governor's race in Pennsylvania. (11/14/2022)
Governor's race in Wisconsin. (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Arizona. (11/15/21022)
Senate race in Colorado. (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Nevada. (11/15/2022)
Senate race in New Hampshire. (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Pennsylvania. (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Vermont. (11/11/2022)
Senate race in Washington. (11/11/2022)
What's the matter with The New York Times?
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
Welcome to the Club! New York Times Shawn McCreesh is Trump's latest victim of The Art of the Con. (7/18)
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
Times get it terribly wrong. (1/25)
2023
2019
Like many others, New York Times reporter Peter Baker got snookered by William Barr's 4-page summary. (4/19)
2018
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