Graph source: Real Clear Politics
Headline: FiveThirtyEight, 6/7/2023
But that success rate will face a major test in 2024: Former Vice President Mike Pence has just announced his candidacy for president, entering the race in arguably a weaker position than just about any other modern vice president. This is due in part to the challenges Pence faces, including the unusual prospect of running against the president he served under and his reduced political standing among Republicans since he refused to aid former President Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn the result of the 2020 presidential election.Pence is the ninth elected vice president since World War II to seek the presidency either as a sitting or former VP.2 Of the eight who came before him, six went on to win their party’s presidential nomination at some point. Based on that track record, then, we’d expect Pence to be in a good position to compete for his party’s nomination.
But knowing Mike Pence, we expect him to fall flat on his face.
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