Douglas County, Colorado: Keep an eye out on this suburban Denver area on Election Day 2024

In 1984, Ronald Reagan won Delaware County by almost 60 percentage points.

In 2020, Donald Trump won the county by just 7.2 percentage points.

Will the county flip from Red to Blue in 2024?  It's possible, but if not, it'll be close.

 

Wikipedia 

3rd party votes:  28.7% in 1992, 7% in 1996. 8.7% in 2016

(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 10.9% of the vote in 1968)

Trump received 18,697 more votes than he did in 2016, a 18% increase.   Biden received 35,996 more votes than Clinton did in 2016, an increase of 52%.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 2.3 percentage points.  Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 8.6 percentage points. 

The population of Douglas County has increased 1426% since 1980.

Wikipedia 

Colorado is a state with a much higher-than-average level of education.  Douglas County is even more so.

 

Source:  U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts

% of population 25 and older with bachelor's degree:

• 60.0% - Douglas County
• 43.7% - Colorado
• 34.3% - U.S.

% of population 65 and older:

• 14.5% - Douglas County
• 16.0% - Colorado
• 17.7% - U.S.

% of population living in poverty:

•   3.1% - Douglas County
•   9.3% - Colorado
• 10.5% - U.S.

Other candidates to flip Blue in 2024:

Hamilton County, Indiana.  (11/2/2024)

Carver County, Minnesota.  (11/2/2024)

Delaware County, Ohio.  (11/2/2024)

Collin County, Texas.  (11/2/2024)

Denton County, Texas.  (11/2/2024)

Ozaukee County, Wisconsin.  (11/2/2024)