Monday, October 28, 2024

Presidential elections have been close in Bucks County Pennsylvania but it hasn't swung since 1992

 
The county has voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in the last 8 elections.

Election results:  Wikipedia
3rd party votes:  22.5% in 1992, 12.8% in 1996, 4% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 11.1% of the vote in 1968)
Headline:  New York Times, 10/17/2024 (print)

In 2012, Republican Mitt Romney lost Bucks County by 1.3 percentage points.  He received 156,579 votes.

In 2016, Republican Donald Trump lost Bucks County by 0.8 percentage points.  He received 164,361 votes --  a modest, 5% increase over Romney's tally.  Democrat Hillary Clinton, received 6,539 more votes than Barack Obama did in 2012, a 4% increase.

In 2020, Republican Donald Trump lost Bucks County by 4.4 ercentage points.    He received 23,006 more votes than he did in 2016, a 14% increase.

In 2020, Democrat Joe Biden received 37,652 more votes than Hillary Clinton did in 2016, a 23% increase.

Moreover, Democrat Josh Stein kicked butt in Bucks County in the 2022 gubernatorial election, beating Trump-endorsed Doug Mastriano by 20 percentage points.

From the New York Times:
In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump won 276 votes in Riegelsville to Joe Biden’s 274. Those are not enough votes to have made a big impact on who won Pennsylvania — nor are Riegelsville’s votes likely to swing who will win the state this November. But Bucks is the only one of Philadelphia’s four collar counties that has not swung strongly to the Democrats. It is, therefore, a nearly dead-even town, in a closely divided county, in the biggest and most important of the electorally deadlocked battleground states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump won 242 votes in Riegelsville to Hillary Clinton's 218.  

In 2020, Trump boosted his 2016 tally 12%

In 2020, Joe Biden boosted Clinton's tally 26%. 

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