FiveThirtyEight, 4/19/2023
But 2016 was just one data point. Historically, endorsements have proven pretty predictive of who wins presidential nominating contests. Since the modern primary era began in 1972, there have been 17 Democratic or Republican primary fights that did not feature an incumbent president. The candidate with the most endorsement points3 on the day before the Iowa caucuses won 11. That’s a better track record than polls have at the same point in the election: Since 1972, the leader in national polls4 on the day before Iowa has won the nomination just 10 out of 17 times.
Thanks to gerrymandering, Republicans serve in 8 of Tennessee's 9 U.S. House districts. 4 of the 8 Republicans have already endorsed Trump.
Nashville (population 678, 851) was carved into 3 different districts to dilute its Democratic influence. Like everywhere else in the USA, Republican's can't win elections without cheating.
Related posts:.
2024 GOP presidential primary: Who's endorsing whom in the Florida delegation of the U.S. House. (4/18/2023)
Meet the 8 official Trump sycophants of the United States Senate. (4/17/2023)43 members of the U.S. House of Representatives have endorsed Trump for president in 2024. 12 of them are from Texas. (4/17/2023)
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