Monday, November 14, 2022

With its A- FiveThirtyEight rating, Trafalgar turns midterm polling into a clown show (Wisconsin edition)


Michels increasing his lead?  That's a good one, Bobby!      



Sources:   New York TimesSlate

More wishful thinking on Bobby's part.

Trafalgar had Republican challenger Tim Michels up by 1.6 percentage points.  Evers won the election by 3.4 percentage points, which, as the Washington Post pointed out, is
a landslide in a state where four of the past six presidential contests were decided by less than one point and the first time since 1990 that a Badger State governor was reelected from the same party that controlled the White House.
This one is a slam dunk:  race called incorrectly.


Screenshots and headline:  Slate, 11/10/2022 (top screenshot PhotoFunia-ed)
Poll ratingFiveThirtyEight (green box added)


Other Trafalgar clown show visits: 
Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11/2022)

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