Monday, December 7, 2015

Snatchin' it back: In one day, Cruz goes from 5-point lead to 13-point deficit in Iowa


Another lesson in the unpredictability of polls.

Note the developing see-saw pattern between Carson and Rubio.


The behinders in the 11/28-12/6 CNN/ORC poll:
  • 4% - Jeb Bush
  • 3% - Rand Paul, Carly Fiorina
  • 2% - Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee
  • 1% - John Kasich, Rick Santorum
  • 0% - Lindsey Graham, George Pataki
Other stuff:
  • 26% of respondents have 'definitely decided' vs. 20% in Monmouth poll
  • 47% say either Trump (25%) or Crux (22%) best represent 'the values of Republicans like yourself



Recent Iowa caucus posts: 
Ted Cruz snatches the lead from Trump in Iowa; Carson tanking.  (12/7/2015)
Cruz makes a move to overtake Trump in Iowa; Carson continues to fade.  (11/24/2015)
Based on latest Iowa poll, Trump can say anything he wants, Carson not so much.  (11/22/2015)
It's presently a 4-way contest in Iowa.  (11/8/2015)
In latest Iowa poll, Carson falls off a cliff, Cruz continues steady climb.  (11/3/2015)
This just in: Marco Rubio does NOT have 'all the magic fairy dust'.  (11/1/2015)
'What will I write about today?' wonders William Petroski. 'How about Rick Santorum?!'  (10/30/2015)
Dear Donald Trump, Mystified about what a Seventh-day Adventist believes? Look it up! )10/27/2015)
Ben Carson regains comfortable lead in 2 latest Iowa caucus polls; Trump tweets Super PAC rant.  (10/26/2015) 
Trump, Carson tied in latest Iowa Republican caucus poll.  (10/26/2015)
Dear Donald Trump. Likely Iowa caucus voters say the thrill is gone.  (10/23/2015)
Ben Carson surges into 1st place in Iowa, tripping up Trump.  (10/22/2015)
Just when you thought likely Iowa Republican caucus voters had come to their senses.......this happens!  (10/4/2015)
Donald Trump, Ben Carson take hits in latest Iowa Republican caucus poll.  (9/23/2015)
Scott Walker puts all of his eggs in one basket.  (9/18/2015)
Scott Walker tumbles to 10th place in latest Iowa caucus poll.  (9/11/2015)
Scott Walker reduced to fighting for Trump's and Carson's crumbs in Iowa.  (9/6/2015)
Will Walker's Presidential campaign survive until then?  (9/4/2015)
I gotta tell ya, Jamie, Rick Perry is nowhere near the battlefield.  (9/2/2015)

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