Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight Forecast and the Election Results


Florida's 29 electoral votes have yet to be added, but it's already obvious that Nate Silver's Political Calculus has been validated.


Among those whose credibility took a major hit.

George Will Predicts Romney Win With 321 Electoral Votes.

[Karl] Rove Predicts Romney Wins By 2% Margin, Around 280 Electoral Votes.    Rove says he believes Pennsylvania is in play and American Crossroads has spent $2 million in the state.


Dick Morris Stands By Prediction: Romney Will Win 325 Electoral Votes.


OK, so maybe Dick had no credibility left.

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