Polling averages gave Mikie Sherrill a likely 3.3-percentage-point margin of victory.
It wasn't even close!
She won in a landslide by 13 percentage point.,
Looks like a collective case of malpractice to Retiring Guy.
Polling averages and results: Real Clear Politics
Election results: New York Times
The final poll release, an atrocity by Atlas Intel, rated the race as a toss-up. That 2.0 margin of error is downright laughable.
Which is why we ended up seeing so many headlines like this one from Newsweek.
Andrew Stanton gushes:
New Jersey’s gubernatorial race is a bellwether for the mood of the country ahead of the 2026 midterms. The party outside of the White House typically performs well in these races—that was the case four years ago when Ciattarelli nearly ousted incumbent Democratic Governor Phil Murphy. However, the race remains close despite President Donald Trump’s approval rating falling since January, according to polls, most of which have given Sherrill a modest lead.
Republicans overperforming in the off-year elections, which also includes a gubernatorial race in Virginia, would be a red flag for Democrats ahead of the midterms, when they are hoping to flip seats across the country.
Republicans did not overperform anywhere yesterday.
Other 2025 election posts:
Trump can't be bothered to hide his racism anymore (Winsome Earle-Sears of Virginia edition). (11/5/2025)
New Jersey governor's race: Democrat Mikie Sherrill defeats Republican Jack Ciattarelli by 1% percentage points. What does that say about the GOP brand under Donald Trump? (11/5/2025)
Virginia 2025 governor's race: Democrat Abigail Spanberger defeats Republican Winsome Earle-Sears by 13.3% percentage points. What does that say about the GOP brand under Donald Trump? (11/5/2025)
Did Donald Trump just doom Andrew Cuomo's candidacy? (11/3/2025)
No comments:
Post a Comment