Sources: State of Mississippi (2015), New York Times (2019)
Hinds County/Jackson (state capital). In 2019, Democrat Jim Hood received 4,233 more votes -- a 110% bump -- than the Democratic candidate in 2015.
In 2019, Republican Tate Reeves received votes -- a 21% drop -- than the Republican candidate in 2015.
Lafayette County/Oxford (Ole Miss). In 2019, Democrat Jim Hood received 24,669 more votes -- a 80% bump -- than the Democratic candidate in 2015.
In 2019, Republican Tate Reeves received 214 more votes -- a 3% increase -- than the Republican candidate in 2015.
Harrison County/Biloxi (Redneck Riviera). In 2019, Democrat Jim Hood received 9,159 more votes -- a 105% bump -- than the Democratic candidate in 2015.
In 2019, Republican Tate Reeves received 4,185 more votes -- a 19% increase -- than the Republican candidate in 2015. The GOP margin of victory here was sliced in half.
Original 11/6/2019 post, "GET ME REWRITE: New York Times reporters don't do their homework", starts here.
Sources: Wikipedia (2015), The New York Times (2019)
How Many Lines Can a Politician Cross? Kentucky Governor Is a Cautionary Tale. (The New York Times, 11/7/2019)
But just as 2018 demonstrated that Republicans can still make gains in conservative states, no matter how poor the national political environment, Tuesday also captured the limitations Democrats face in red states when they are not running against flawed opponents. In Mississippi, Democrats fielded their most promising nominee for governor in 16 years, Attorney General Jim Hood, but could not come within five points of defeating Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves, who had faced a contested primary.
These results make the last campaign of 2019, the Louisiana governor’s race a week from Saturday, even more symbolically important: It is a test of whether a relatively popular Democrat, Gov. John Bel Edwards, can be re-elected against a little-known Republican businessman, Eddie Rispone, in a pro-Trump state.The president appeared with Mr. Rispone on Wednesday in Louisiana, but it was the results Tuesday from across the state line, in Mississippi, that seemed ominous for Democrats.
[emphasis added]
"Could not come within five points..."
Let's take a look at the numbers.
In 2019, Democrat Jim Hood received 170,437 more votes -- a 74% bump -- than the Democratic candidate in 2015.
In 2019, Republican Tate Reeves received 26,951 fewer votes -- a 6% drop-- than the Republican candidate in 2015.
Moreover, the total number of votes cast increased 20% -- from 718,185 in 2015 to 862,609 in 2019. Despite the fact the GOP candidate received fewer votes in 2019.
On Tuesday, Democrats shaved the Republicans 2015 margin of victory by more than 30 percentage points.
Really? These results are ominous for Democrats?
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