Flip. In circus-like fashion. Since 2010, Pete Sessions had never lost an election by less than 28 percentage points. Here he is on the losing end of 6.3 percentage points.
Source: Ballotpedia
At least the 2nd NY Times/Siena poll moved in the right direction.
Source: Real Clear Politics
Democrat Colin Allred grabs Dallas-area U.S. House seat from GOP's Pete Sessions. (Dallas News, 11/8/2018)
Allred's upset win in a Republican-leaning district rocked the national and local political scene. He took out Sessions, the chairman of the House Rules Committee, who has represented the area since 2003 and been in Congress since 1997.
Original 4/15/2018 post, "With a candidate like Colin Allred, Pete Sessions knows Texas's 32nd congressional district is flippable", starts here.
Rep. Pete Sessions was first elected to Congress in November 1996.
Will Texas Win the House? Ask Texas. By Frank Bruni. (The New York Times, 4/13/2018)
[Colin] Allred is 34. Like Jones, he’s making his first run for office. Also like her, he has an unconventional professional biography. Before getting his law degree at the University of California, Berkeley, he played professional football for the Tennessee Titans, and before that he was a football star at Baylor University in Waco and at a high school in his Dallas district. Many of its voters remember watching him play.
Trump received 46.6% of the vote in 2016 compared to 57% for Romney in 2012 and 55% for McCain in 2008.
Clinton received 48.5% of the vote in 2016 compared to 41.5% for Obama in 2012 and 44% for Obama in 2008.
Source: govtrack
Other U.S. House 2018 election outlooks:
Martha McSally, Arizona 2nd. (10/8/2017)
Jeff Denham, California 10th. (10/9/2017)
David Valadao, California 21st. (10/10/2017)
Steve Knight, California 25th. (11/7/2018 update)
Ed Royce, California 29th. (10/12/2017)
Open seat. California 39th. (9/6/2018)
Mimi Walters, California 45th. (2/12/2018)
Scott Tipton, Colorado 3rd. (11/7/2018 update)
Mike Coffman, Colorado 6th. (11/8/2018 update)
Dennis Ross, Florida 15th. (11/9/2018 update)
Brian Mast, Florida 18th. (11/9/2018 update)
Carlos Curbelo, Florida 26th. (11/9/2018 update)
Florida 27th. (8/31/2018)
Peter Roskam, Illinois 6th. (11/10/2018 update)
Mike Bost, Illinois 12th. (11/10/2018 update)
Rod Blum, Iowa 1st. (11/11/2018 update)
David Young, Iowa 3rd. (11/11/2018 update)
Kevin Yoder, Kansas 3rd. (11/12/2018 update)
Andy Barr, Kentucky 6th. (11/12/2018 update)
Mike Bishop, Michigan 8th. (11/13/2018 update)
Jason Lewis, Minnesota 2nd. (11/15/2018 update)
Erik Paulsen, Minnesota 3rd. (11/15/2018 update)
Don Bacon, Nebraska 2nd. (11/16/2018 update)
Open seat. New Jersey 2nd. (11/16/2018 update)
Tom MacArthur, New Jersey 3rd. (11/19/2018 update)
Leonard Lance, New Jersey 7th. (11/19/2018 update)
Lee Zeldin, New York 1st. (11/21/2018 update)
John Faso, New York 19th. (11/21/2018 update)
Claudia Tenney, New York 22nd. (11/23/2018 update)
John Katko, New York 24th. (11/23/2018 update)
Steve Chabot, Ohio 1st. (11/25/2018 election update)
Ryan Costello, Pennsylvania 6th. (10/23/2017)
Pennsylvania 7th. (8/29/2018)
Will Hurd, Texas 23rd. (11/25/2018 election update)
Pete Sessions, Texas 32nd. (11/25/2018 election update)
Scott Taylor, Virginia 2nd. (8/28/2018)
Disgraced Tom Garrett. Virginia 5th. (9/2/2018)
David Brat, Virginia 7th. (9/2/2018)
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