Remember 2022? Well, here they go again!

 

New York Times headlines:  top, bottom

From the 8/24/2024 Times

It was here that the party arguably lost its majority in 2022, amid a backlash against the states’ punishingly high living costs and fears about public safety, which voters blamed on their Democratic supermajorities. At the same time, Democrats in New York and California were unable to capitalize on fears that Republicans would wipe away abortion access after the demise of Roe.  [emphasis added]

Democrats deployed that argument successfully to woo voters in swing states like Michigan and Virginia, but it fell flat in blue states where people regard abortion rights as safe. “The swing districts in blue states have just performed differently than swing districts in swing states,” said Dan Conston, the president of the Congressional Leadership Fund, the House Republicans’ official super PAC. “And it’s not one cycle; it’s multiple cycles.”

Look what's happened since November 8, 2022

Project 2025

Live by the polls, die by the polls

2024

Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly:  Just what you'd expect from a "pollster" who promoted a nonexistent "Red Wave" in 2022

Dear Sean Hannity:  Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly deals in GOP wet-dream fantasies.  If he sez Trump is up 2 in Georgia, he's actually down 5.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (8/2/2024)

Are the pollsters and political reporters making the same rush to judgment they did in 2022?  (6/10)

December 2023

Best to take any poll from Trafalgar with a grain of salt.  (12/6)

November 2023

America's most pilloried pollster thinks Republican's bad night in Virginia won't tarnish Glenn Youngkin.  (11/8)

October 2023

The only trend here is Robert Cahaly being WRONG WRONG WRONG like he was in 2022.  (10/29)

February 2023

Trafalgar leaves deep and lasting stain on polling profession with off-the-charts dreadful performance in 2022 midterms.  (2/13)

 

January 2023

RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (RNC chair election edition).  (1/27/2023)

RULE #1:  Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (Border security edition).  (1/27/2023)

RULE #1:  Never take a Trafalgar poll at face value (RNC edition).  (1/26/2023)

Day 61 of Robert C. Cahaly's self-imposed exile.  (1/7/2023)

FiveThirtyEight reports Trafalgar poll with a straight face.  (1/6/2023)

December 2022

In a year when conservative pollsters tried to drive the election narrative, Politico sez "HOORAY " for polls.  (12/31/2022)
Rule #1: Never cite a Trafalgar poll to bolster your argument.  (12/24/2022)

November 2022

And then there were those Trafalgar fantasy polls.  (11/21/2022)

Since Election Day, we have been listening to 'The Sounds of Silence" by Robert C. Cahaly.  (11/16/2022)

Looking forward to Trafalgar's first fantasy poll of the 2024 GOP presidential campaign shit show.  (11/16/2022)

Governor's race in Arizona.  (11/16/2022)

Governor's race in Colorado.  (11/16/2022)

Governor's race in New York.  (11/15/2022)

Governor's rate in Michigan.  (11/11/2022)

Governor's race in Minnesota.  (11/16/2022)

Governor's race in Minnesota.  (11/16/2022)

Governor's race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14/2022)

Governor's race in Wisconsin.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Arizona.  (11/15/21022)

Senate race in Colorado.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Nevada.  (11/15/2022)

Senate race in New Hampshire.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11/2022)

Senate race in Washington.  (11/11/2022)