With its A- FiveThirtyEight rating, Trafalgar turns midterm polling into a clown show (New Mexico edition)

"Incumbent trailing challenger in New Mexico!" crows Bobby.

Sources:   New York Times, Twitter

How was that first bite, Bobby?

In its final New Mexico gubernatorial poll of the campaign,Trafalgar projected the Republican challenger Mark Ronchetii winning the election by a  single percentage-point margin  

Instead, Democrat incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham won by a comfortable 6.3 percentage-point margin.  That's a 7.4 point oopsie differential for Bobby.

Bobby has compiled quite the track record this election season:  4 for 14 based on this review.  He's batting .286.  A decent performance in baseball.  Pathetic, not even minor-league, in polling.

Screenshots and headline:  Slate, 11/10/2022 (top screenshot PhotoFunia-ed)

Poll rating: FiveThirtyEight (green box added)

Twitter

Other Trafalgar clown show visits: 

Governors race in Arizona.  (11/16/2022)

Governor's race in New York.  (11/15/2022)

Governor's rate in Michigan.  (11/11/2022)

Governor's race in Minnesota.  (11/16/2022)

Governor's race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14/2022)

Governor's race in Wisconsin.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Arizona.  (11/15/21022)

Senate race in Colorado.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Nevada.  (11/15/2022)

Senate race in New Hampshire.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11/2022)

Senate race in Washington.  (11/11/2022)