Thursday, October 3, 2024

Been there, done that: Just like in 2022, Trafalgar lead pollster Robert Cahaly trolls the media with GOP wet dream fantasy polls (Michigan edition)



HeadlineNewsweek, 10/2/2024
Reality and fantasy sources: New York Times, Slate
Republican U.S. Senate candidate Mike Rogers received a boost in the hotly contested Michigan race—narrowing the gap in a battle where multiple polls had shown him trailing—according to a survey from a pollster deemed the "the most accurate" by RealClearPolitics. 
A new poll from The Trafalgar Group, known for predicting former President Donald Trump's 2016 victory over Hillary Clinton, shows Rogers essentially tying up the race. But Trafalgar, led by conservative pollster Robert Cahaly, also predicted a "red wave" in the 2022 midterms, which never materialized.

The primary purpose of this poll was troll the media and generate headlines such as these.

It worked!  And to the news media's shame, it's working again.
 
Headline links found here

In 2022, Robert Cahaly was America's most inaccurate pollster.



Live by the polls, die by the polls
September 2024
Dear Newsweek: Please place an election season embargo on Trafalgar polls.  They are nothing more than a GOP wet dream.  Just like 2022.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (9/1)
Dear Eric Mack:  Remember the so-called 2022 Red Wave?  Trafalgar polls are nothing but a GOP wet dream.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (9/1) 

June-August 2024
Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly:  Just what you'd expect from a "pollster" who promoted a nonexistent "Red Wave" in 2022
Dear Sean Hannity:  Trafalgar's Robert Cahaly deals in GOP wet-dream fantasies.  If he sez Trump is up 2 in Georgia, he's actually down 5.  Best, Retiring Guy.  (8/2/2024)

December 2023

November 2023

October 2023

February 2023
 
January 2023
RULE #1: Never take a Trafalgar poll at face valve (RNC chair election edition).  (1/27)
Day 61 of Robert C. Cahaly's self-imposed exile.  (1/7)
FiveThirtyEight reports Trafalgar poll with a straight face.  (1/6)

December 2022

November 2022
And then there were those Trafalgar fantasy polls.  (11/21)
Since Election Day, we have been listening to 'The Sounds of Silence" by Robert C. Cahaly.  (11/16)
Looking forward to Trafalgar's first fantasy poll of the 2024 GOP presidential campaign shit show.  (11/16)


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