Wednesday, November 16, 2022

With its A- FiveThirtyEight rating, Trafalgar turns midterm polling into a clown show (Minnesota edition)

 
"Statistical tie in Minnesota!" crows Bobby.

Sources:   New York TimesSlate

We're keeping the kitchen open late just for you, Bobby?


Trafalgar had the Republican challenger Scott Jensen with a slim 0.8 percentage-point lead in its final Minnesota gubernatorial poll of the campaign.  Democratic incumbent Tim Walz won the election by 7.7 percentage points.  That's a 8.5 point oopsie differential for Bobby.

Bobby has compiled quite the track record this election season.




Screenshots and headline:  Slate, 11/10/2022 (top screenshot PhotoFunia-ed)
Poll ratingFiveThirtyEight (green box added)


Other Trafalgar clown show visits: 
Senate race in Arizona.  (11/15/21022)
Senate race in Colorado.  (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Nevada.  (11/15/2022)
Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11/2022)

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