Monday, November 12, 2018

Wisconsin 2018 elections UPDATE: In Manitowoc County, The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats remains unsolved due to missing evidence


Sources:  Wikipedia (presidential, gubernatorial 201020142018)

2016-2018 decrease in votes for Democrats:      7%
2016-2018 decrease in votes for Republicans:   8%

2014-2018 increase in votes for Democrats:       5%
2014-2018 increase in votes for Republicans:    8% 

2012-2014 decrease in votes for Democrats:      39%
2012-2014 decrease in votes for Republicans:     3%

2008-2010 decrease in votes for Democrats:     48%
2008-2010 decrease in votes for Republicans:    5%


Percentage change in votes
from 2016 to 2018, by county
 

Percentage change in votes from 2016 to 2018, 
in counties that voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012 
and Trump in 2016

Updated posts:
Wisconsin.  (11/7/2018 update)
Adams County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ashland County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Barron County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Bayfield County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Brown County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Buffalo County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Burnett County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Calumet County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Chippewa County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Clark County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Columbia County. (11/8/2018 update)
Crawford County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dane County. (11/8/2018 update)
Dodge County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Door County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Douglas County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dunn County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Eau Claire County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florence County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Fond du Lac County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Forest County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Grant County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Green County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Green Lake County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Iowa County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Iron County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Jackson County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Jefferson County.  (11/11/2018 update)
Juneau County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Kenosha County.   (11/12/2018 update)
Kewaunee County.  (11/7/2018 update)
La Crosse County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Lafayette County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Langlade County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Lincoln County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Manitowoc County.  (11/12/2018 update)
Marathon County.  (11/15/2016)
Marinette County.  (11/15/2016)
Marquette County.  (11/16/2016)
Menominee County.  (11/15/2016)
Milwaukee County.  (11/15/2016)
Monroe County.  (11/16/2016)
Oconto County.  (11/16/2016)
Oneida County.  (11/16/2016)
Outagamie County.  (11/16/2016)
Ozaukee County.  (11/16/2016)
Pepin County.  (11/16/2016)
Pierce County.  (11/16/2016)
Polk County.  (11/17/2016)
Portage County.   (11/17/2016)
Price County.  (11/17/2016)
Racine County.  (11/18/2016)
Richland County.  (11/18/2016)
Rock County.  (11/18/2016)
Rusk County.  (11/18/2016)
Sauk County.  (11/18/2016)
Sawyer County.   (11/18/2016)
Shawano County.  (11/19/2016)
Sheboygan County.  (11/19/2016)
St. Croix County.  (11/19/2016)
Taylor County.  (11/19/2016)
Trempealeau County.  (11/19/2016)
Vernon County.  (11/20/2016)
Vilas County.  (11/20/2016)
Walworth County.  (11/20/2016)
Washburn County.  (11/21/2016)
Washington County,.  (11/21/2016)
Waukesha County.  (11/20/2016)
Waupaca County.  (11/22/2016)
Waushara County.  (11/22/2016)
Winnebago County.  (11/22/2016)
Wood County.  (11/22/2016)


4/5/2018 update, " Manitowoc County turns slightly blue in Wisconsin Supreme Court election", starts here.

50.4% for Rebecca Dallet

The following bar graph should be taken with a grain of salt, as we're comparing apples (fall 2016 partisan presdiential election) to oranges (spring 2018 'non-partisan' Supreme Court election).


Nevertheless, this is Manitowoc County we're looking at here, which voted blue in 9 of 12 presidential elections from 1960 to 1996.  In the 2016 presential election, the number of Democratic votes decreased 27% from the 2012 election.

Related posts:
UPDATE. A blue wave hits Wisconsin, statewide.  (4/5/2018)
Yes, Wisconsin, there's a patch of red in blue Dane County. (4/4/2018)
Majority of Wisconsin's most populous counties join blue wave, least populous take a pass, for the most part.  (4/4/2018)
A blue wave hits Wisconsin.  (4/4/2018)
UPDATE. Scott Walker checks spring election results, shits his pants.  (4/4/2018)
The wishful thinking of tireless Scott Walker boosterChristian Schneider.  (4/4/2018)


11/15/2016 UPDATE, "Case of the Quadrennial Democrats UPDATE. The 2016 presidential election in Manitowoc County Wisconsin", starts here.

2016 update:  Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (100% reporting)

2012-2016 % change in vote by party
  •  +7.5%  Republicans
  •   -27.2%  Democrats
Third party tallies
  • Gary Johnson 1,559 (4%)
  • Jill Stein 347 (1%)

County rankings of vote change by party

Counties where Trump won 60% or more of the vote are highlighted.


Source:  Wikipedia


Original 11/15/2014 post, "Manitowoc County, Wisconsin: The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats", starts here.

2008-2010 drop in Democratic voter participation:  47.5% vs. 5% for Republicans.
2012-2014 drop in Democratic voter participation:  38.5% vs. 2.6% for Republicans.

Walker's vote total increased by 15.4% in 2014 compared to 2010.  Mary Burke increased Tom Barrett's total by 6.6%.

2008, 2010, and 2012 election figures from the (soon-to-be-snuffed?) Government Accountability Board.  The 2014 figures are preliminary.

Source:  Wikipedia


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