With its A- FiveThirtyEight rating, Trafalgar turns midterm polling into a clown show (New York edition)

 

 

"The one to watch!" crows Bobby, setting himself up for another face plant.

Sources:   New York Times, Slate

You really love this meal, don't you, Bobby?

Trafalgar had the Republican challenger Lee Zeldin with a slim 0.8 percentage-point lead in its final New York gubernatorial poll of the campaign.  Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul won the election by 5.8 percentage points.  That's a 6.6 point oopsie differential for Bobby.

Screenshots and headline:  Slate, 11/10/2022 (top screenshot PhotoFunia-ed)

Poll rating: FiveThirtyEight (green box added)

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Other Trafalgar clown show visits: 

Governor's race in Michigan.  (11/11/2022)

Governor's race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14/2022)

Governor's race in Wisconsin.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Arizona.  (11/15/21022)

Senate race in Colorado.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Nevada.  (11/15/2022)

Senate race in New Hampshire.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Pennsylvania.  (11/14/2022)

Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11/2022)

Senate race in Washington.  (11/11/2022)