Tuesday, November 15, 2022

With its A- FiveThirtyEight rating, Trafalgar turns midterm polling into a clown show (New York edition)

 
 
"The one to watch!" crows Bobby, setting himself up for another face plant.


Sources:   New York TimesSlate

You really love this meal, don't you, Bobby?


Trafalgar had the Republican challenger Lee Zeldin with a slim 0.8 percentage-point lead in its final New York gubernatorial poll of the campaign.  Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul won the election by 5.8 percentage points.  That's a 6.6 point oopsie differential for Bobby.


Screenshots and headline:  Slate, 11/10/2022 (top screenshot PhotoFunia-ed)
Poll ratingFiveThirtyEight (green box added)


Other Trafalgar clown show visits: 
Senate race in Arizona.  (11/15/21022)
Senate race in Colorado.  (11/14/2022)
Senate race in Nevada.  (11/15/2022)
Senate race in Vermont.  (11/11/2022)

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