Democrats should have a good chance here, as Orange County is not nearly as red as it used to be. Clinton beat Trump in this district 51.5% to 42.9. Not to mention the Royce's shrinking margin of victory since 2012.
Republican Retirements Raise Talk of Democratic Wave in November. (The New York Times, 1/9/2018)
Monday’s retirement announcement by Representative Ed Royce of California, chairman of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, brought to 30 the number of Republicans who either will be leaving office or seeking one other than in the House. Mr. Royce’s announcement punctuated an accelerating trend that leaves his party on treacherous footing in its effort to maintain control of Congress.
Source: govtrack
Related Congress retirement/resignation posts:
AZ CD-8. Freedom Caucus crazy Trent Franks bypasses 2018 retirement announcement, goes directly to resignation. (12/7/2017)
FL CD-18. Florida Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen is retiring from Congress and maybe there's a glimmer of hope for Democrats. (10/27/2017)
KS CD-2. Kansas Republican Lynn Jenkins is retiring from Congress but don't expect Democrats to flip this seat. (11/6/2017)
MI CD-11. Michigan Republican Dave Trott is retiring from Congress but don't expect Democrats to flip this seat. (10/23/2017)
NJ CD-2. After 24 years in the U.S. House, New Jersey Republican Frank LoBiondo is retiring. (11/9/2017)
OH CD-12. Ohio Republican Patrick Tiberi is retiring from Congress but don't expect Democrats to flip this seat. (10/22/2017)
PA CD-15. Pennsylvania Republican Charlie Dent is retiring from Congress but don't expect Democrats to flip this seat. (10/24/2017)
PA CD-18. After 18 years in the U.S. House, Pennsylvania Republican Bill Shuster is retiring. (1/3/2018)
TN. CD-6. Tennessee Republican Diane Black is retiring from Congress but there'll be no pickup for Democrats in this deep red district. (11/6/2017)
TX CD-2. After 14 years in Congress, Texas Republican Ted Poe is retiring but don't expect Democrats to flip this House seat. (11/9/2017)
TX CD-5. Texas Republican Jeb Hensarling is retiring from the House but there'll be no pickup for Democrats here. (10/31/2017)
TX CD-5. Sexting scandal forces Texas GOP congressman Joe Barton to announce retirement in his 32nd year of service. (12/4/2017)
TX CD-21. Actually, I wouldn't put too much stock in Lamar Smith's retirement announcement. (11/3/2017)
VA CD-6. After 26 years in Congress, Virginia Republican Bob Goodlatte is retiring but don't expect Democrats to flip this House seat. (11/10/2017)
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