With its A- FiveThirtyEight rating, Trafalgar turns midterm polling into a clown show (Washington edition)

 

A nailbiter?  Hardly.

Sources:   New York Times, Slate

So, yeah, he called the race correctly, but......

Trafalgar had Murray up by just 1.2 percentage points.  She won the election by 12.6 percentage points.  (That's with 70% of the vote counted, but numbers have remained steady as new tallies are added.  And there are still lots of votes to be counted in King and Pierce counties, Washington's most populous.)

Moore Information Group, however, gets the prize for the worst WA Senate poll.

They get a B/C rating from FiveThirtyEight.

Screenshots and headline:  Slate, 11/10/2022 (top screenshot PhotoFunia-ed)

Poll rating: FiveThirtyEight (green box added)

Other Trafalgar clown show visits:

Michigan.  (11/11/2022)

Vermont.  (11/11/2022)