Dear Nate Cohn, Watch what voters do, not what poll respondents say. Best, Retiring Guy

 

Top headline:  CNN, 9/10/2025

Photo by Retiring Guy

Bottom headline:  New York Times, 9/30/2025

Related posts:

April-May 2025

Apparently, the AP didn't poll anyone in Omaha.  (5/15)

With Democrats currently slashing Republican margins of victory, Iowa's Mariannette Miller-Meeks looks extremely vulnerable in 2026.  (4/10)

With Democrats currently slashing Republican margins of victory, Wisconsins Derrick Van Orden looks extremely vulnerable in 2026. (4/9)
As we have recently learned, a 15-point margin of victory is no longer safe for the GOP.  (4/9)
Democrat Josh Weil cuts GOP margin of victory from 33 to 13.7 percentage points in deep-red Florida congressional district previously represented by Signalgate star performer Michael Waltz.  (4/2) 

Democrat Gay Valimont cuts GOP margin of victory from 32 to 14.6 percentage points in deep-red Florida congressional district previously represented by Matt Gaetz.  (4/2)

Wisconsin elections:  What a difference 5 months and the road to authoritarianism makes!  (4/2)

Staying power? In Wisconsin, Donald Trump reveals a limp dick.  (4/2)

January-March 2025

Democrat flips a state senate seat in a deep-red area of Pennsylvania. (3/26)

Democrat flips a state senate seat in a deep-red area of Pennsylvania.  (3/26)

Democrats flip state senate seat in increasingly red Iowa.  (1/29)