Saturday, October 8, 2022

GET ME REWRITE: Travis County is not part of 'ever-redder Texas'


Travis County/Austin metro area

In presidential elections, Travis County, Texas, went from a 12 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to 45 percentage point  Democratic advantage in 2020.   A big swing over 36 years.  During the same period, its population increased from 500,000 to 1,290,000.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 0.7 percentage points. Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 5.6 percentage points.

Election results:  Wikipedia 
3rd party votes:  20.9% in 1992, 7.7% in 1996, 7.1% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 10.4% of the vote in 1968)
Headline:  Boston Globe, 10/1/2022

10/7/2022 update starts here

Williamson County/Austin metro area

In presidential elections, Williamson County, Texas, went from a 44.3 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to 1.4 percentage point  Democratic advantage in 2020.   A big swing over 36 years.  During the same period, its population increased from 108,000 to 609,000.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 2.7 percentage points. Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 8.3 percentage points.

Election resultsWikipedia 
3rd party votes:  25.5% in 1992, 8.3% in 1996, 7.8% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 16.5% of the vote in 1968)
Headline:  Boston Globe, 10/1/2022


10/6/2022 update starts here

Fort Bend County/Houston metro area

In presidential elections, Fort Bend County, Texas, went from a 37.6 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to 10.6 percentage point  Democratic advantage in 2020.   A big swing over 36 years.  During the same period, its population increased from 175,000 to 823,000.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 0.7 percentage points. Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 3.3 percentage points.

Election results:  Wikipedia 
3rd party votes:  18.7% in 1992, 5.6% in 1996, 4.4% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 18.4% of the vote in 1968)
Headline:  Boston Globe, 10/1/2022


10/5/2022 update starts here

Harris County/Houston

In presidential elections, Harris County, Texas, went from a 23.2 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to 13.3 percentage point  Democratic advantage in 2020.   During the same period, its population increased from 2,600,000 to 4,730,000.

Trump received 63,820 more votes than he did in 2016, a 18% increase.   Biden received 123,175 more votes than Clinton did in 2016, an increase of 43%.

Election results:  Wikipedia 
3rd party votes:  18.7% in 1992, 5.6% in 1996, 4.4% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 18.4% of the vote in 1968)
Headline:  Boston Globe, 10/1/2022

10/4/2022 update starts here

Tarrant County/Fort Worth

In presidential elections, Tarrant County, Texas, went from a 33.7 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to 0.2 percentage point  Democratic advantage in 2020.   During the same period, its population increased from 788,000 to 2,110,600.

Election resultsWikipedia 
3rd party votes:  28% in 1992, 7.5% in 1996. 5.1% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 15.3% of the vote in 1968)
Headline:  Boston Globe, 10/1/2022


10/3/2022 update starts here
 
Dallas-Fort Worth metro area

In presidential elections, Dallas County, Texas, went from a 64.3 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to 4.4 percentage point  GOP advantage in 2020.   During the same period, its population increased from 205,000 to 1,065,000.

Election results:  Wikipedia 
3rd party votes:  34% in 1992, 8.5% in 1996. 6/3% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 23.7% of the vote in 1968)
Headline:  Boston Globe, 10/1/2022


Original 10/2/2022 post starts here

In presidential elections, Dallas County, Texas, went from a 30 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 31.6 percentage point Democratic advantage in 2020.   During the same period, its population increased from 1,700,000 to 2,620,000.

Election results:  Wikipedia 
3rd party votes:  26.3% in 1992, 7.2% in 1996. 5.4% in 2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 15.3% of the vote in 1968)
HeadlineBoston Globe, 10/1/2022

Ever-redder Texas?  You're not paying attention, Samantha.

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