The New York Times wants to know how the suburbs will swing in 2022

Columbus OH metro area

Delaware County: From a 53.1 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 6.8 percentage point GOP advantage in 2020.   Delaware County is a purple county on its way to turning blue. 

Here's the big picture.

Wikipedia 
 3rd party votes: 25.5% in 1992, 9.3% in 1996. 6.3% in 2016 
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 16.4% of the vote in 1968)

The population of Delaware County has grown from 53,840 in 1980 to 209,177 today.

This is why the GOP believes voter suppression is the only road to survival.

July 15 update starts here

Denver metro area

Douglas County: From a 48 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 25.2 percentage point Democratic advantage in 2020.   That's not a swing; it's a seismic shift.  

Here's the big picture.

Wikipedia 
 3rd party votes: 28.7% in 1992, 7% in 1996. 8.7% in 2016 
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 10.9% of the vote in 1968)

The population of Douglas County has grown from 35,574 in 1980 to 146,343 today.

This is why the GOP believes voter suppression is the only road to survival.

July 14 update starts here

Atlanta metro area

Cobb County: From a 54.8 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 14.3 percentage point Democratic advantage in 2020.   That's not a swing; it's a seismic shift.  

Here's the big picture.

Wikipedia 

 3rd party votes: 14.9% in 1992, 6.3% in 1996. 6.3% in 2016 

(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 39.4% of the vote in 1968)

The population of Cobb County has grown from 297,718 in 1980 to 760,141 today.

This is why the GOP believes voter suppression is the only road to survival.

July 13 update starts here

Indianapolis metro area

Hamilton County: From a 65 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 6.8 percentage point GOP advantage in 2020.   That's not a swing; it's a seismic shift.  From red to purple to.......

Here's the big picture.

Wikipedia 

3rd party votes: 19.1% in 1992, 7.6% in 1996. 7.2% in 2016 

(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 10.6% of the vote in 1968)

The population of Hamilton County has grown from 82,027 in 1980 to 338,011 today.

This is why the GOP believes voter suppression is the only road to survival.

New York Times, 7/10/2021

Mr. Biden won 54 percent of voters from the country’s suburbs last year, a significant improvement over Hillary Clinton in 2016, and enough to overcome Mr. Trump’s expansion of his own margins in rural and urban areas, according to new data from the Pew Research Center. Suburbanites made up 55 percent of the Biden coalition, compared with 48 percent of Clinton voters.

7/12/2021 update starts here

Houston metro area 

Fort Bend County: From a 37.6 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 10.6 percentage point Democratic advantage in 2020.   That's not a swing; it's a seismic shift.

Here's the big picture.

Wikipedia

The population of Fort Bend County has grown from 130,846 in 1980 to 811,688 today.

This is why the GOP believes voter suppression is the only road to survival.

Original 7/11/2021 post starts here

Dallas-Fort Worth metro area

Collin County:   From a 63.4 percentage point GOP advantage in 1984 to a 4.4 percentage point GOP advantage in 2020.  At this rate, the county could possibly flip to blue in 2022.

Here's the big picture.

Wikipedia

3rd party votes: 34% in 1992, 8.5% in 1996. 6.3% in 2016 

(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 23.7% of the vote in 1968)

The population of Collin County has grown from 144,576 in 1980 to 1,034,820 today.