Saturday, May 15, 2021

GET ME REWRITE: Wisconsin population growth is turning Ozaukee County from red to purple

3rd party votes:  19.2% in 1992, 9.3% in 1996. 7.2% in  2016
(Alabama segregationist George Wallace received 7.3% of the vote in 1968)

Comparing 2012 and 2020
Trump received 2,165 fewer votes than Romney did in 2012, a 6% decrease.   Biden received 7,358 more votes than Obama did in 2012, an increase of 38%.

Trump decreased Romney's share of the vote by 9.4 percentage points.  Biden increased Obama's share of the vote by 8.8 percentage pointsThat's a dramatic shift of 18.2 percentage points in 8 years.

Comparing 2016 and 2020
Trump received 3,448 more votes than he did in 2016, a 11% increase.   Biden received 6,347 more votes than Clinton did in 2016, an increase of 31%.

Trump's share of the vote decreased by 0.6 percentage points.  Biden increased Clinton's share of the vote by 6.1 percentage points. 

One is very blue (Democratic) in its politics: Dane County. One is very red (Republican): the “WOW” counties north and west of Milwaukee — Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington. And one is pretty purple: the “BOW” counties of the Fox Valley — Brown, Outagamie and Winnebago.f 47.  
[snip] 
Trump did five points worse in the WOW counties than he did in 2016, winning them by 23 points instead of 28.

With Ozaukee County leading the charge.

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