Will New York Republican Lee Zeldin be toast if Trump's tax plan passes as proposed

Democrats held the district from 2003 to 2014.

Source:  Ballotpedia

Tax Plan Burdens Blue-State Republicans and Their Districts.  (The New York Times, 11/5/2016)

Representative Lee M. Zeldin of New York, a Republican from a similar district on Long Island, said it would be impossible for him to vote for the bill in its current form. Mr. Zeldin said he would favor a “big, beautiful tax cut,” but not one that took aim so directly at blue-state taxpayers. 

“I view it as a geographic redistribution of wealth,” Mr. Zeldin said. “You’re taking more money from a state like New York, to pay for a deeper tax cut elsewhere.”

Source:  govtrack